Newsletter: 26th May 2025

NTPC Powers Ahead Strongly

Aaj Ka Bazaar

US markets will remain closed Monday on the account of Memorial Day. Asian markets were mixed this morning, with Japan and South Korea leading regional gains. Indian market look set to open higher on Monday, tracking gains in US index futures and mostly positive cues from Asian markets after US President Donald Trump extended a deadline for EU trade deal until 9 July, following a call with European Commission president. Investors will also react to RBI’s record dividend transfer of Rs. 2.7 lakh crore to the government and its implications for fiscal policy. On the economic front, the release of industrial and manufacturing production data for April along with the Q4 GDP growth figures due this week may provide fresh insights into the economic recovery trajectory.

Markets Around Us

BSE Sensex 82,018.58 (0.36%)

Nifty 5024,938.60 (0.37%)

Bank Nifty54,417.55 (0.03%)

Dow Jones41,989.79 (0.92%)

Nasdaq 18,737.21 (-1.00%)

FTSE 8,717.97 (-0.24%)

Nikkei 22537,463.92 (0.82%)

Hang Seng 23,366.06 (-1.01%)

Sector: Power

NTPC Profit Surges on Capacity Expanison

NTPC Ltd. delivered a strong performance during the quarter, reflecting strategic efficiency amidst a dynamic energy landscape. The company continues to benefit from strong demand fundamentals, driven by rising economic activity and increased domestic consumption. Operationally, the consistent expansion in installed capacity and higher captive coal procurement highlights NTPC’s focus on securing fuel supply and enhancing self-reliance, which is crucial for maintaining cost efficiencies. Despite a marginal contraction in EBITDA margins, largely due to elevated expenditure, profitability remained strong, supported by better realizations and improved plant efficiencies. The rise in power generation and average tariff during FY25 further highlights NTPC’s scale advantage and pricing power. Overall, NTPC is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing power demand surge, backed by strong fundamentals and continued capacity expansion. These factors support a stable growth outlook, making NTPC a solid player in India’s evolving energy sector

Why it Matters:

This news matters as it underscores NTPC’s strategic resilience and strong fundamentals amid rising power demand. Continued capacity expansion and improved plant efficiencies position the company for sustained growth. With stable profitability and enhanced fuel security, NTPC remains a key player in India’s energy transition.

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

HEROMOTOCO – 4397.10 (2.05%)

M&M – 3071.10 (1.94%)

TATAMOTORS– 732.05 (1.92%)

NIFTY 50 LOSERS

ETERNAL – 229.75 (-3.28%)

BEL – 380.95 (-0.74%)

SHRIRAMFIN – 655.30 (-0.69)

Sector : Iron & Steel

JSW Steel ended FY25 on a strong note, delivering sequential improvement across volumes, profitability, and margins, supported by robust domestic demand and declining input costs. Despite a slight miss on PAT versus consensus, the operational outperformance and successful ramp-up of capacities rein- force confidence in JSW’s ability to capitalise on domestic infrastructure momentum. Going forward, driven by the contribution from its recently ramped-up capacities at JVML (5 MTPA) and BPSL (1 MTPA), improved raw material security through captive iron ore and coking coal mines, and a higher share of value-added products, the company is poised for a robust performance in FY26. The company’s ongoing cost optimisation measures, including lower coking coal prices, enhanced energy efficiency from renewable power integration, and operational leverage from higher utilisation, are expected to support margin expansion. Given India’s accelerating infrastructure growth in FY26, we have a sense that the company is well-positioned to leverage its strengths and is set to deliver sustainable margin expansion and operational efficiency, reinforcing its leadership in the domestic steel sector.

Why it Matters:

This news is important as it highlights JSW Steel’s strong finish to FY25, driven by volume growth, cost efficiencies, and capacity ramp-up. The company’s focus on raw material security and value-added products strengthens its competitive edge. With India’s infrastructure boom, JSW is well-placed for sustained growth and margin expansion in FY26.

Desh Duniya Bazaar

Around the World

Asian markets were mixed on Monday as traders reacted to U.S. President Trump’s weekend flip-flop on European trade tariffs. While Wall Street weakness weighed on sentiment, U.S. futures bounced back after Trump postponed the tariffs to July. Japanese markets outperformed, with the Nikkei 225 and TOPIX gaining for the third day, helped by optimism around upcoming trade talks and Trump’s support for Nippon Steel’s U.S. deal. In contrast, Apple suppliers across Asia dropped after Trump threatened a 25% tariff on imported iPhones, hitting stocks like AAC Technologies, Luxshare, and Samsung. Tech-heavy markets like Taiwan and South Korea saw mild declines. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dipped, dragged by profit-taking in BYD. Mainland China was mixed, as traders watched for signals on further U.S.-China trade talks. Australia and Singapore also edged lower. Meanwhile, Gift Nifty Futures rose 0.4%, hinting at a positive start for Indian markets. Overall, trade tensions and tech tariffs kept investors cautious.

Option Traders Corner

Max Pain

Nifty 50 – 24850

Bank Nifty – 55200

Nifty 50 – 24792 (Pivot)

Support – 24,675, 24,497, 24,380

Resistance – 24,970, 25,087, 25,265

Bank Nifty – 55231 (Pivot)

Support – 55,021, 54,644, 54,436

Resistance – 55,608, 55,818, 56,195

 Have you checked our latest YouTube Video

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India’s Retail Investor Surge: Market Participation Hits Record Highs in 2024

India’s stock market has seen a 36% rise in retail participation, with over 50 million investors active by 2024. This surge is driven by increased financial literacy, digital trading platforms, and government initiatives. Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) have also gained popularity, with monthly contributions hitting ₹14,000 crore in early 2025. These trends reflect growing confidence in India’s equity markets.

Newsletter: 23rd May 2025

Sun Pharma Eyes Strong Growth

Aaj Ka Bazaar

U.S. stocks closed sharply lower on Wednesday as Treasury yields surged, raising concerns that U.S. government debt could increase by trillions of dollars if Congress approves President Donald Trump’s proposed tax-cut bill. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 816.80 points, or 1.91%, closing at 41,860.44, while the S&P 500 dropped by 95.85 points, or 1.61%, to finish at 5,844.61. Asian shares also declined, and Treasuries continued to slide when trading opened on Thursday, following the losses on Wall Street linked to worries about the U.S. increasing deficit.  Japan’s Nikkei index fell to a two-week low, impacted by rising U.S. Treasury yields and a stronger yen. The Nikkei dropped 0.8% to 37,007.79, after hitting a low of 36,873.61, the lowest level since May 8. Considering the global cues, the domestic market, the Sensex and Nifty 50 indices are expected to open lower on Thursday due to a sell-off in global markets. Investor sentiment has been shaky since Moody’s downgraded the United States’ credit rating last Friday, amid concerns regarding the country’s growing debt. On a stock-specific level, shares of IndusInd Bank are anticipated to be in focus following its report for Q4FY25, which revealed a net loss of Rs. 2,236 crore, compared to a profit of Rs. 2,346 crore during the same period last year. This marks the lender’s largest quarterly loss ever, and the company noted suspicions that some employees may have engaged in fraudulent activities, which led to accounting discrepancies previously disclosed by the bank.

Markets Around Us

BSE Sensex 81,099.56 (0.18%)

Nifty 5024,617.70 (0.03%)

Bank Nifty54,872.30 (-0.63%)

Dow Jones41,894.79 (0.12%)

Nasdaq 18,925.73 (0.28%)

FTSE 8,793.26 (-0.54%)

Nikkei 22537,231.04 (0.69%)

Hang Seng 23,677.44 (0.57%)

Sector: Pharmaceuticals

Sun Pharma Q4 Misses PAT Estimate

The pharma giant reported a steady financial performance in Q4FY25, supported by growth across both domestic and international markets. Meanwhile, net profit was impacted by exceptional items and higher tax provisions. The company has consistently gained market share, showing steady growth within this segment. The company’s strategic approach to increasing market share across various divisions is mainly driven by volume and new product launches. The company’s R&D efforts span specialty and generic businesses, and it continues to invest in building the pipeline for various markets. The company will improve its financial performance as we advance, aided by market share gains in India and strong momentum in the Global Specialty segment. The near-term specialty pipeline remains promising, with upcoming launches such as Leqselvi and Unloxcyt via the recently announced Checkpoint acquisition, which is expected to enhance patient outcomes and drive growth. Management remains focused on scaling the Specialty portfolio, which is set to become an increasingly significant contributor to overall revenues.

Why it Matters:

Sun Pharma’s Q4FY25 performance reflects its resilient growth strategy, driven by strong contributions from both domestic and international markets. While net profit came in below expectations due to exceptional items and higher tax provisions, the company’s consistent market share gains and focus on volume growth and new product launches underline its operational strength. Strategic investments in R&D and a promising specialty pipeline, including upcoming launches like Leqselvi and Unloxcyt, position Sun Pharma to enhance patient outcomes and drive long-term revenue growth. The management’s emphasis on scaling the Specialty segment further reinforces the company’s trajectory toward sustained financial and market leadership.

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

TRENT – 5342.00 (2.62%)

GRASIM – 2741.40 (2.50%)

ETERNAL– 233.09 (1.78%)

NIFTY 50 LOSERS

SUNPHARMA – 1656.70 (-3.61%)

HINDALCO – 647.70 (-0.28%)

ICICIBANK – 1438.10 (-0.28)

Sector : FMCG

ITC Ltd. posted a resilient performance in Q4FY25, amidst a subdued demand environment and sharp escalation in input costs. The company improved its market position through strategic product differentiation and premiumisation. This performance is expected to continue in the coming years, supported by strong traction in the cigarette business and expected demand recovery. Further, the recent acquisitions in the food and paper businesses are expected to accelerate the growth. Additionally, the completion of a state-of-the-art facility to manufacture and export Nicotine and Nicotine derivative products is expected to increase Nicotine exports. Looking ahead, the company’s strategic price hikes, cost management, and operational efficiencies, such as supply chain optimisation, smart procurement, and productivity gains through automation and digital technologies, further strengthen its competitive edge. With a growing distribution network and robust execution capabilities, ITC is well-positioned to maintain its leadership in core categories while scaling its FMCG and agri-value chains. As India’s consumption story continues to evolve, ITC’s diversified portfolio, innovation-driven approach, and commitment to creating long-term stakeholder value will support consistent growth and strong shareholder returns in the years ahead.

Why it Matters:

This matters because ITC’s resilient performance amid cost pressures and weak demand highlights its strategic agility and operational strength. Its focus on premiumisation, innovation, and supply chain optimisation positions it for sustained growth. With expanding exports and strong execution, ITC is set to capitalize on India’s evolving consumption landscape.

Desh Duniya Bazaar

Around the World

Most Asian stocks rose on Friday, helped by a drop in U.S. Treasury yields, though concerns over U.S. government debt kept markets cautious. Japanese shares, including the Nikkei 225 and TOPIX, gained 0.8% even after stronger-than-expected inflation data. Rising local wages boosted consumer spending, helping Japan’s economy and lifting the yen and bond yields. Gains in tech and chip stocks also supported the rally.

Chinese markets performed well this week, helped by easing U.S. trade tensions and hopes of more economic support from Beijing. The CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite both rose, while the Hang Seng gained 1.1% for the week despite weak earnings from Chinese tech firms. Other Asian markets were mixed. Japan’s weekly performance was down 1.4%, pressured by a strong yen. India’s Nifty 50 fell 1.6% after recent highs. Australia’s ASX 200 and South Korea’s KOSPI had small gains Friday but lost ground for the week. Singapore’s index slipped 0.2%.

Option Traders Corner

Max Pain

Nifty 50 – 24650

Bank Nifty – 55000

Nifty 50 – 24603 (Pivot)

Support – 24,468, 24,328, 24,193

Resistance – 24,744, 24,878, 25,091

Bank Nifty – 54838 (Pivot)

Support – 54,679, 54,418, 54,260

Resistance – 55,099, 55,257, 55,518

 Have you checked our latest YouTube Video

Did you know?

India’s Retail Investor Surge: Market Participation Hits Record Highs in 2024

India’s stock market has seen a 36% rise in retail participation, with over 50 million investors active by 2024. This surge is driven by increased financial literacy, digital trading platforms, and government initiatives. Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) have also gained popularity, with monthly contributions hitting ₹14,000 crore in early 2025. These trends reflect growing confidence in India’s equity markets.

Newsletter: 22nd May 2025

NBCC’s ₹160 Cr Win

Aaj Ka Bazaar

U.S. stocks closed sharply lower on Wednesday as Treasury yields surged, raising concerns that U.S. government debt could increase by trillions of dollars if Congress approves President Donald Trump’s proposed tax-cut bill. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 816.80 points, or 1.91%, closing at 41,860.44, while the S&P 500 dropped by 95.85 points, or 1.61%, to finish at 5,844.61. Asian shares also declined, and Treasuries continued to slide when trading opened on Thursday, following the losses on Wall Street linked to worries about the U.S. increasing deficit.  Japan’s Nikkei index fell to a two-week low, impacted by rising U.S. Treasury yields and a stronger yen. The Nikkei dropped 0.8% to 37,007.79, after hitting a low of 36,873.61, the lowest level since May 8. Considering the global cues, the domestic market, the Sensex and Nifty 50 indices are expected to open lower on Thursday due to a sell-off in global markets. Investor sentiment has been shaky since Moody’s downgraded the United States’ credit rating last Friday, amid concerns regarding the country’s growing debt. On a stock-specific level, shares of IndusInd Bank are anticipated to be in focus following its report for Q4FY25, which revealed a net loss of Rs. 2,236 crore, compared to a profit of Rs. 2,346 crore during the same period last year. This marks the lender’s largest quarterly loss ever, and the company noted suspicions that some employees may have engaged in fraudulent activities, which led to accounting discrepancies previously disclosed by the bank.

Markets Around Us

BSE Sensex 80,989.57 (-0.74%)

Nifty 5024,619.50 (-0.76%)

Bank Nifty54,789.30 (-0.55%)

Dow Jones41,897.68 (0.08%)

Nasdaq 18,872.64 (-1.41%)

FTSE 8,786.46 (0.06%)

Nikkei 22536,943.35 (-0.95%)

Hang Seng 23,718.17 (-0.45%)

Sector: Construction

NBCC Wins ₹162 Cr Delhi Project

State-owned construction major NBCC (India) Ltd on Wednesday (May 21) said it has received a work order worth approximately ₹161.55 crore (excluding GST) for interior work at Tower H of the World Trade Centre in Nauroji Nagar, New Delhi. The contract has been awarded by Power Finance Corporation Limited and falls under the routine course of business for NBCC. Last week, NBCC India concluded the e-auction of its flagship residential project, Aspire Silicon City  Phase 4, awarding development and selling rights to AU Real Estate for ₹1,467.93 crore. The auction marks one of the largest residential property deals in the region this year. Located in one of Noida’s developed sectors, the project spans 8.5 acres and comprises seven residential towers. Of these, five towers housing 446 apartments  have been handed over to AU Real Estate as part of the transaction.

Why it Matters:

This news highlights NBCC’s strong project execution capabilities and growing presence in high-value government contracts. The ₹162-crore deal from Power Finance Corporation boosts its order book and reinforces its role in Delhi’s infrastructure growth. Additionally, the massive Aspire Silicon City deal signals robust demand in the real estate sector and NBCC’s success in asset monetization.

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

ADANIPORTS – 1406.60 (1.59%)

JIOFIN – 276.60 (0.82%)

INDUSINDBK– 775.25 (0.69%)

NIFTY 50 LOSERS

TECHM – 1564.10 (-2.13%)

HCLTECH – 1618.90 (-2.00%)

POWERGRID – 290.75 (-1.82)

Sector : Metal & Mining

Vedanta Group firm, Hindustan Zinc Limited (HZL), on Wednesday (May 21) said it has received a letter of intent (LoI) from the government of Andhra Pradesh for the grant of a composite licence for the Balepalyam tungsten and associated mineral block in Ananthapuram district. The licence, issued under Rule 18(1) of the Mineral Auction Rules, 2015, follows Hindustan Zinc’s selection as the preferred bidder in the e-auction conducted by the Ministry of Mines, Government of India. The Balepalyam block spans 308.30 hectares and is expected to enhance Hindustan Zinc’s access to strategic minerals, notably tungsten, classified as a critical mineral.

Why it Matters:

This win strengthens Hindustan Zinc’s foothold in critical minerals, particularly tungsten, which is vital for defense and high-tech industries. Securing the 308.3-hectare Balepalyam block positions the company strategically amid rising demand for rare minerals. It also reflects Vedanta Group’s focus on expanding its mining portfolio through government-backed auctions.

Desh Duniya Bazaar

Around the World

Most Asian stock markets dropped on Thursday, mirroring overnight losses in the U.S. due to worries about the American economy, rising debt, and U.S.-China trade tensions. Tech stocks were hit the hardest, following a surge in U.S. bond yields and criticism from China over U.S. chip export restrictions. Key Asian indices like South Korea’s KOSPI and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng saw notable declines, with big names like Baidu and CATL sliding due to profit booking and weak global cues. Japanese markets also fell after weak PMI data signaled slower business activity and continued pressure from U.S. tariffs. While most markets slipped, China’s indexes edged up slightly on hopes of more government stimulus. Meanwhile, Singapore and Australia also posted losses following mixed economic data. India’s markets are expected to open flat, with investors awaiting the country’s PMI numbers for further cues. Overall, caution remains high across Asia amid global uncertainty.

Option Traders Corner

Max Pain

Nifty 50 – 24700

Bank Nifty – 55000

Nifty 50 – 24815 (Pivot)

Support – 24,683, 24,554, 24,422

Resistance – 24,944, 25,075, 25,205

Bank Nifty – 55034 (Pivot)

Support – 54,731, 54,388, 54,085

Resistance – 55,377, 55,680, 56,023

 Have you checked our latest YouTube Video

Did you know?

India’s Retail Investor Surge: Market Participation Hits Record Highs in 2024

India’s stock market has seen a 36% rise in retail participation, with over 50 million investors active by 2024. This surge is driven by increased financial literacy, digital trading platforms, and government initiatives. Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) have also gained popularity, with monthly contributions hitting ₹14,000 crore in early 2025. These trends reflect growing confidence in India’s equity markets.

Newsletter: 21st May 2025

Aluminium Margin Powers Hindalco Industries

Aaj Ka Bazaar

In the previous session on May 20, Indian equity benchmarks extended their decline for the third straight day, dragged down by weak global cues and persistent selling by foreign institutional investors (FIIs). Globally, Wall Street paused its recent rally, with the S&P 500 snapping a six-session winning streak and all three major U.S. indices ending in the red. The Dow Jones slipped 0.27%, while the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 fell 0.4%, pressured by rising U.S. Treasury yields amid renewed concerns over the country’s sovereign debt profile. In Asia, however, sentiment remained upbeat as indices in Australia, South Korea, and Hong Kong advanced, supported by China’s central bank cutting key lending rates for the first time in seven months to stimulate growth. The KOSPI rallied nearly 1%, and the Hang Seng gained around 0.5%, further bolstered by Chinese state banks lowering deposit rates to ease margin pressures. Despite this, Indian markets are expected to open on a muted note today, as suggested by GIFT Nifty, with global trade uncertainties, continued FII offloading, and some lacklustre earnings season likely to dampen investor sentiment. On the stock-specific front, shares of IRCON are expected to be in focus after the company secured a Rs 253.56 crore work order from South Western Railway for the installation and commissioning of KAVACH safety systems across 778 route kilometres in the Bengaluru and Mysuru divisions.

Markets Around Us

BSE Sensex 81,392.77 (0.25%)

Nifty 5024,770.80 (0.36%)

Bank Nifty55,021.70 (0.26%)

Dow Jones42,586.03 (-0.21%)

Nasdaq 19,142.10 (-0.52%)

FTSE 8,781.12 (0.93%)

Nikkei 22537,434.96 (-0.25%)

Hang Seng 23,797.37 (0.49%)

Sector: Metal & Mining

Hindalco Industries Q4 Result

Hindalco Industries has delivered a stellar performance, reporting record-high performance across parameters, supported by margin expansion and disciplined cost control. The company’s strong operational execution, particularly in its Indian Aluminium Upstream business, coupled with lower input costs and favourable macro tailwinds, underscores its robust fundamentals. The Aluminium Upstream segment remains the key growth driver, delivering an EBITDA margin of 47% in Q4 – a clear reflection of strong cost control and operational efficiency. Going forward, despite a moderating global growth backdrop and potential external risks, Hindalco’s strategic positioning appears robust. Its robust exposure to high-growth and structurally positive sectors such as beverage can packaging, automobile and consumer durables, coupled with capacity expansions, cost optimisation measures and product mix optimisation, should support volume and margin growth.

Why it Matters:

Hindalco’s record-breaking Q4 performance highlights its strong operational efficiency, especially in the Aluminium Upstream segment with a standout 47% EBITDA margin. Lower input costs and strategic cost control have strengthened its financial resilience. With exposure to high-growth sectors and ongoing capacity expansions, Hindalco is well-positioned for sustained volume and margin growth despite global uncertainties.

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

BEL – 376.65 (3.53%)

SUNPHARMA – 1750.00 (2.47%)

DRREDDY– 1246.80 (1.85%)

NIFTY 50 LOSERS

SHRIRAMFIN – 644.60 (-2.09%)

INDUSINDBK – 775.45 (-0.87%)

HINDALCO – 657.10 (-0.85)

Sector : IT Software

Unicommerce eSolutions Ltd on Tuesday, May 20, said it is partnering with digital healthcare company Tata 1mg to offer order processing and logistics services. Through the platform’s technology, Tata 1mg will automate its brand’s order processing, which will help in tracking stock levels accurately, while utilising demand forecasting to minimise overstocking. Such practices will lead to the assurance of timely product availability across facilities, along with an error-free fulfilment of products across Tata 1mg’s over 1,000 cities in India. The digital healthcare company has made use of Unicommerce’s multi-channel order management and warehouse management systems to streamline the company’s backend operations for the orders received on its website and across various marketplaces, it said. Unicommerce’s batching facility will enable quick identification of faulty and expired products, triggering actions like initiating recall or prioritising sales by generating alerts for a batch nearing its expiry date, the company said.

Why it Matters:

This partnership enhances Tata 1mg’s backend efficiency, ensuring faster, error-free order fulfilment across 1,000+ cities in India. By leveraging Unicommerce’s tech for inventory tracking and demand forecasting, Tata 1mg can reduce overstocking and ensure better product availability. It also strengthens safety compliance through automated batch alerts for expired or faulty products.

Desh Duniya Bazaar

Around the World

Asian currencies rose on Wednesday as the U.S. dollar weakened due to uncertainty around President Trump’s proposed tax cut bill and investor caution during the G7 finance ministers’ meeting. Traders are watching closely, as any policy shift could impact forex markets. The U.S. Dollar Index dropped, reflecting concerns over growing fiscal deficits and a recent U.S. credit rating downgrade by Moody’s. Meanwhile, Asian markets reacted to Japan’s weak trade data, which showed a slowdown in exports due to U.S. tariffs. Despite this, currencies like the South Korean won, Japanese yen, and Australian dollar gained. The Chinese yuan stayed steady even as tensions flared over U.S. restrictions on Huawei chips. The Indian rupee remained flat. Overall, a softer dollar and trade-related worries are driving short-term strength in Asian currencies, while global uncertainties around inflation, interest rates, and U.S.-China relations continue to shape market sentiment.

Option Traders Corner

Max Pain

Nifty 50 – 24800

Bank Nifty – 55000

Nifty 50 – 24787 (Pivot)

Support – 24,565, 24,447, 24,224

Resistance – 24,906, 25,128, 25,246

Bank Nifty – 55091 (Pivot)

Support – 54,615, 54,352, 53,876

Resistance – 55,353, 55,830, 56,092

 Have you checked our latest YouTube Video

Did you know?

India’s Retail Investor Surge: Market Participation Hits Record Highs in 2024

India’s stock market has seen a 36% rise in retail participation, with over 50 million investors active by 2024. This surge is driven by increased financial literacy, digital trading platforms, and government initiatives. Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) have also gained popularity, with monthly contributions hitting ₹14,000 crore in early 2025. These trends reflect growing confidence in India’s equity markets.

Weekly Report: 19th May 2025

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By

Domestic equity benchmarks ended the week with strong gains, supported by easing geopolitical tensions following a ceasefire between India and Pakistan, a decline in both retail and wholesale inflation, and the timely onset of the monsoon. According to the RBI, India’s foreign exchange reserves fell by $2.065 billion to $686.064 billion for the week ended May 2. India’s retail inflation in April eased to 3.16%, down from 3.34% in March, while wholesale inflation (WPI) further declined to 0.85% year-on-year. In April 2025, total exports, including merchandise and services, rose to USD 73.80 billion, while imports increased to USD 82.45 billion. Globally, the US headline CPI rose 2.3% YoY in April, and core CPI, which excludes food and energy, registered a 0.2% increase.

 

Week Ahead

The Indian stock market looks set to extend its upward momentum in the coming week, supported by a mix of favorable domestic and global developments. Investor sentiment remains positive, buoyed by ongoing trade negotiations between India and the United States, which continue to enhance market confidence. On the domestic front, key economic indicators such as the HSBC Flash Composite PMI, Manufacturing PMI, and Services PMI for May are scheduled for release on Thursday, 22 May 2025. Additionally, data on bank loan and deposit growth for the fortnight ending 9 May 2025 will be released on Friday, 23 May 2025. Globally, China will publish its industrial production and retail sales data for April on Monday, 19 May 2025. Japan’s trade balance data for April is due on Wednesday, 21 May 2025, followed by inflation data on Friday, 23 May 2025. In the United States, existing home sales data for April is slated for release on Thursday, 22 May 2025.

 

Technical Overview
  • Strong Upside Continuation – NIFTY extended its rally to close at 25,019.80, marking a sharp move from the April lows and testing a key psychological level of 25,000.
  • Crucial Resistance at 25,116 – The index approached a prior swing resistance near 25,116, which now acts as an immediate hurdle. A sustained move above this could open gates for further upside.
  • Need for Sustained Hold Above 25,000 – It is essential for NIFTY to hold above 25,000 in the coming sessions to maintain bullish momentum. A failure to do so may lead to range-bound consolidation.
  • Short-Term Support at 24,770–24,330 Zone – On the downside, immediate support lies at 24,770, followed by the rising zone of 24,329–24,202. These levels are crucial for trend protection.
  • Volume Surge Confirms Strength – The recent rally was accompanied by a volume spike of 432.7M, indicating strong market participation and conviction behind the move.
  • Momentum Remains Firm – The RSI at 65.29 is trending higher without being overbought, reflecting strong positive momentum.
  • Positive Directional Bias – The ADX shows a rising +DI and increasing trend strength, confirming the continuation of bullish sentiment.
  • MACD in Bullish Territory – The MACD histogram remains positive with expanding green bars, affirming a bullish bias in the short term.
  • Parabolic SAR Supports Uptrend – The Parabolic SAR dots below price suggest that the uptrend remains intact as long as price doesn’t breach key support levels.
  • Conclusion
    While the overall structure remains positive, NIFTY must sustain above the 25,000 mark for the rally to continue. Failure to hold this level could result in sideways consolidation between 24,770–25,116, with a possible revisit of support near 24,330. Traders should monitor price action closely around the 25,000 zone for directional clarity.
  •  

To view the detailed report click here to   Download 

Newsletter: 20th May 2025

BEL Delivers Strong Q4

Aaj Ka Bazaar

Wall Street concluded the day slightly higher on Monday, despite Moody’s downgrading the U.S. sovereign credit outlook. The downgrade was prompted by concerns over the government’s $36 trillion in outstanding debt and escalating interest costs. Early Tuesday morning, U.S. stock futures showed limited movement, with S&P 500 futures inching up by less than 0.1% and Nasdaq 100 futures dipping by 0.1%. In Asia, equities advanced for the first time in four sessions, buoyed by Wall Street’s gains that brought the S&P 500 closer to entering a bull market. A regional index climbed by 0.4%, supported by strong performances in Australia, Japan, and South Korea, reflecting a more optimistic global sentiment. Given these positive indicators, Indian benchmark indices, the Nifty 50 and Sensex, are anticipated to open higher, with Gift Nifty suggesting a premium of nearly 80 points. On a stock-specific note, Bharat Electronics Ltd (BEL) is expected to be in the spotlight after the company reported an 18% YoY growth in its Q4FY25 earnings and announced a final dividend for the financial year.

Markets Around Us

BSE Sensex 82,049.44 (-0.14%)

Nifty 5024,952.80 (0.03%)

Bank Nifty55,241.80 (-0.32%)

Dow Jones42,324.86 (-0.77%)

Nasdaq 19,211.10 (0.52%)

FTSE 8,684.56 (0.59%)

Nikkei 22537,641.22 (-0.77%)

Hang Seng 23,230.95 (-0.49%)

Sector: Defense

BEL Q4 Profit Up, Dividend Declared

Bharat Electronics (BEL) reported strong Q4 results with net profit rising 18.4% to ₹2,127 crore, compared to ₹1,797 crore last year. The company’s revenue grew 6.8% to ₹9,149.6 crore, supported by higher sales. Total income stood at ₹9,344.2 crore, and expenses slightly increased to ₹6,477 crore. BEL’s EBITDA saw a sharp 23.2% jump to ₹2,816 crore, with margins improving to 30.8% from 26.7% YoY, showing better operational efficiency. The company’s board has also recommended a final dividend of ₹0.90 per share for FY25, subject to shareholder approval. Despite the strong financials, BEL’s stock closed slightly lower at ₹363 on the NSE. As a Navratna defence PSU, BEL continues to deliver steady growth, making it a stock to watch for both seasoned investors and young traders looking for reliable long-term bets in the defence and electronics sector.

Why it Matters:

BEL’s strong Q4 performance highlights robust demand in India’s defence sector and its improving operational efficiency. The jump in profit and margins signals healthy fundamentals and future growth potential. For investors, the dividend and consistent earnings make it a stable and attractive stock in a volatile market.

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

TATASTEEL – 161.10 (2.24%)

COALINDIA – 409.35 (1.65%)

HINDALCO– 666.70 (1.27%)

NIFTY 50 LOSERS

HEROMOTOCO – 4350.30 (-1.08%)

EICHERMOT – 5471.50 (-1.06%)

SHRIRAMFIN – 672.00 (-0.86)

Sector : Capital Goods

Waaree Energies announced that it received board approval to acquire Kamath Transformers Private Ltd for Rs 293 crore. Kamath Transformers is engaged in the manufacturing of transformers. “This acquisition is done as part of its business expansion activity,” Waaree Energies said in an exchange filing. The board also approved the acquisition of Green New Delhi Forever Energy Private Limited by Waaree Forever Energies Private Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of Waaree Energies. The deal will be executed at Rs 1 lakh per share with a face value of Rs 10 each, the filing added. Both acquisitions are expected to be completed in FY26 and will be fully funded through cash consideration.

Why it Matters:

These acquisitions mark Waaree Energies’ strategic entry into transformer manufacturing and green energy, expanding its clean energy portfolio. Fully funded by internal cash, the move reflects strong financial health and aggressive growth plans. It positions Waaree to become a more integrated player in India’s energy transition.

Desh Duniya Bazaar

Around the World

Asian currencies and the US dollar remained mostly stable on Tuesday, with traders awaiting key updates. The Australian dollar fell slightly ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s interest rate decision, where a 0.25% cut is expected due to cooling inflation and global trade tensions. Meanwhile, China’s central bank reduced its key lending rates to support growth, but the yuan remained flat as trade talks with the US remained uncertain. A crucial US vote on major tax cuts also kept markets cautious, especially after Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating due to its $36 trillion debt. The US dollar index stayed steady after recent minor declines. Most other Asian currencies, including the yen, rupee, and Singapore dollar, were little changed. However, the South Korean won saw a 0.5% gain. Overall, the forex market stayed quiet as traders waited for updates on interest rates, inflation, and global trade moves.

Option Traders Corner

Max Pain

Nifty 50 – 24900

Bank Nifty – 55000

Nifty 50 – 24975 (Pivot)

Support – 24,887, 24,828, 24,740

Resistance – 25,033, 25,121, 25,179

Bank Nifty – 55470 (Pivot)

Support – 55,246, 55,071, 54,847

Resistance – 55,645, 55,869, 56,044

 Have you checked our latest YouTube Video

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India’s Retail Investor Surge: Market Participation Hits Record Highs in 2024

India’s stock market has seen a 36% rise in retail participation, with over 50 million investors active by 2024. This surge is driven by increased financial literacy, digital trading platforms, and government initiatives. Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) have also gained popularity, with monthly contributions hitting ₹14,000 crore in early 2025. These trends reflect growing confidence in India’s equity markets.

Newsletter: 19th May 2025

Q4 Profit Boosts Delhivery’s

Aaj Ka Bazaar

Indian equities are poised for a subdued start to the week, despite a strong showing last week where the Nifty 50 surged over 4%, driven by easing geopolitical tensions, robust FII inflows, and positive global sentiment. Wall Street ended higher on Friday, marking its fifth consecutive day of gains, buoyed by optimism surrounding the U.S.-China tariff truce. However, sentiment was partially dampened by weaker-than-expected consumer sentiment data, pointing towards a possible slowdown in the U.S. economy. In early Monday trading, U.S. stock futures declined by 0.2% following a credit rating downgrade from Aaa to Aa1, which has weighed on investor sentiment. A key dollar index slipped 0.3%, and U.S. Treasuries remained largely flat. Asian markets opened weaker, with Japan, Australia, and South Korea trading in the red, indicating cautious risk appetite in the region. In corporate developments, Vodafone Idea is in focus after the Indian government rejected its plea to waive over $5 billion in interest and penalties related to statutory dues. The financially strained telecom operator has approached the Supreme Court, citing public interest, and warned that without government support, it may not be able to continue operations beyond FY26.

Markets Around Us

BSE Sensex 82,219.44 (-0.14%)

Nifty 5025,014.65 (-0.02%)

Bank Nifty55,388.65 (0.06%)

Dow Jones42,324.86 (-0.77%)

Nasdaq 19,211.10 (0.52%)

FTSE 8,684.56 (0.59%)

Nikkei 22537,641.22 (-0.77%)

Hang Seng 23,230.95 (-0.49%)

Sector: Logistics Solution

Delhivery Q4 Profit Surges 190%

Delhivery posted strong Q4 FY25 results, reporting a net profit of ₹72.6 crore a sharp turnaround from a ₹68.5 crore loss in the same quarter last year and a 190% jump from ₹25 crore in Q3. Revenue stood at ₹2,192 crore, up 6% year-on-year but down 7.8% sequentially. EBITDA more than doubled to ₹119 crore, with margins improving to 5.4%. For the full year FY25, the company reported its first-ever annual net profit of ₹162 crore, compared to a loss of ₹249 crore in FY24. Full-year EBITDA nearly tripled to ₹376 crore, with a margin of 4.2%. The company continues to focus on improving profitability, especially in its core logistics business. It also mentioned that its acquisition of Ecom Express, worth up to ₹1,407 crore, is pending regulatory approval and will make Ecom a subsidiary once completed. The management expects further growth momentum in FY26.

Why it Matters:

This news matters because Delhivery has turned profitable for the first time, signaling a major shift in its financial strength and long-term sustainability. Strong EBITDA growth and margin improvements reflect better operational efficiency. The upcoming Ecom Express acquisition could further strengthen its market position in the logistics space.

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

BAJAJ-AUTO – 8720.00 (2.80%)

EICHERMOT – 5615.00 (1.91%)

HEROMOTOCO– 4419.60 (1.71%)

NIFTY 50 LOSERS

INFY – 1569.90 (-1.26%)

ETERNAL – 243.11 (-1.08%)

TCS – 3535.80 (-0.72)

Sector : Civil Construction

KEC International Ltd., a leading global infrastructure EPC company and part of the RPG Group, on May 17, late Saturday, announced new transmission and distribution (T&D) project orders worth ₹1,133 crore in India. The order wins include a major contract from Power Grid Corporation of India Limited (PGCIL) for the construction of a ±800 kV HVDC transmission line and a 765 kV GIS substation. In addition, the company has secured an order from a leading private developer for a 400 kV Quad transmission line. Commenting on the development, Vimal Kejriwal, Managing Director and CEO of KEC International, said, “We are particularly proud to secure yet another HVDC (High Voltage Direct Current) order, building on the strong foundation laid by last year’s wins. We maintain a strong and optimistic outlook on the sector’s growth, driven by the country’s accelerating energy demands and the government’s firm commitment to expanding renewable energy and strengthening transmission infrastructure.” These new orders, the company stated, will contribute significantly to its targeted growth trajectory and support India’s push towards robust and future-ready energy infrastructure.

Why it Matters:

This matters because KEC International’s ₹1,133 crore order win boosts its order book and reinforces its leadership in India’s power transmission sector. Securing high-voltage projects like HVDC lines signals strong execution capability. It also aligns with India’s growing energy needs and infrastructure development goals.

Desh Duniya Bazaar

Around the World

Asian stock markets slipped on Monday as concerns over global economic growth weighed on investor sentiment. The drop followed a downgrade of the U.S. credit rating by Moody’s, which raised worries about rising debt levels. At the same time, mixed signals from China added to the cautious mood while industrial production was stronger than expected in April, weak retail sales and business investment showed the economy is still under pressure. U.S. stock futures also fell, reflecting a broader risk-off attitude. Markets in Japan, South Korea, Singapore, and China all edged lower. Australia’s market remained flat as investors await the Reserve Bank of Australia’s rate decision, with expectations of a small rate cut but a cautious tone ahead. Japan’s recent weak GDP and upcoming inflation data are also being closely watched. In India, Gift Nifty futures pointed to a soft start after strong gains last week. Overall, traders are staying cautious amid uncertain global signals.

Option Traders Corner

Max Pain

Nifty 50 – 24900

Bank Nifty – 55000

Nifty 50 – 25014 (Pivot)

Support – 24,958, 24,897, 24,841

Resistance – 25,075, 25,131, 25,192

Bank Nifty – 55314 (Pivot)

Support – 55,210, 55,066, 54,961

Resistance – 55,459, 55,563, 55,707

 Have you checked our latest YouTube Video

Did you know?

India’s Retail Investor Surge: Market Participation Hits Record Highs in 2024

India’s stock market has seen a 36% rise in retail participation, with over 50 million investors active by 2024. This surge is driven by increased financial literacy, digital trading platforms, and government initiatives. Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) have also gained popularity, with monthly contributions hitting ₹14,000 crore in early 2025. These trends reflect growing confidence in India’s equity markets.

Newsletter: 16th May 2025

Bajaj Powers International Growth

Aaj Ka Bazaar

Wall Street indices ended mixed on Thursday, influenced by optimism over a temporary reduction in tariff rates between the US and China. The S&P 500 gained 0.41% to close at 5,916.93, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 0.65% to 42,322.75. In contrast, the Nasdaq slipped 0.18% to 19,112.32. Asian markets mostly traded lower as investors assessed Japan’s latest GDP figures and awaited further economic data from the region. Indian benchmark indices are expected to open on a positive note, as indicated by GIFT Nifty trading higher. Investor sentiment is likely to be driven by US President Donald Trump’s comments on the India-US trade deal, ongoing corporate earnings announcements, and foreign investor inflows. On the stock-specific front, Biocon’s subsidiary, Biocon Pharma, has received approval for Rivaroxaban tablets, a drug used to reduce the risk of stroke and systemic embolism in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation.

Markets Around Us

BSE Sensex – 82,462.38 (-0.08%)

 

Nifty 50 – 25,015.65 (-0.19%)

 

Bank Nifty – 55,234.60 (-0.22%)

 

Dow Jones – 42,342.16 (0.05%)

 

Nasdaq – 19,112.32 (-0.18%)

 

FTSE – 8,633.75 (0.56%)

 

Nikkei 225 – 37,689.03 (-0.18%)

 

Hang Seng – 23,276.23 (-0.75%)

Sector: Automobiles

Bajaj Boosts Global Presence With Investment

Bajaj Auto International Holdings BV (BAIH BV), a wholly owned subsidiary of Bajaj Auto Ltd, has received board approval for an additional capital infusion of €125 million (₹1,199.92 crore) to support investment opportunities. The Netherlands-based entity plays a key role in Bajaj Auto’s global expansion strategy, and this funding reinforces its commitment to international growth. With a turnover of ₹19.09 crore and a net worth of ₹5,487.75 crore, BAIH BV is integral to Bajaj Auto’s international expansion. The Netherlands-based unit has been instrumental in extending the company’s global reach beyond its core Indian market. As Bajaj Auto navigates evolving market dynamics, the capital infusion into BAIH BV underscores its strategy to strengthen investment capabilities and drive growth in international markets.

Why it Matters:

This capital infusion signals Bajaj Auto’s strong commitment to global growth, enabling its international arm BAIH BV to explore new investment opportunities. It reinforces the company’s strategy of expanding beyond India and deepening its presence in key overseas markets. Backed by solid financials, BAIH BV remains a crucial lever for Bajaj’s long-term international ambitions.

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

BEL – 358.40 (2.28%)

EICHERMOT – 5535.00 (1.26%)

ETERNAL – 245.53 (1.21%) 

NIFTY 50 LOSERS

BHARTIARTL – 1819.40 (-2.56%)

INDUSINDBK – 763.10 (-2.23%)

HCLTECH – 1676.30 (-1.16)

Sector : Telecom

Bharti Airtel Stake Sale by promoters

Bharti Airtel Ltd. promoter entity Singtel is set to sell shares worth Rs 8,568 crore through open market transactions on Friday, according to sources. The Singaporean telecommunications conglomerate, which owns Airtel shares via its arm Pastel Ltd., plans to float around 4.76 crore shares. The floor price for the block deal is set at Rs 1,800 apiece, a 3.6% discount to the last closing. Multinational investment bank JPMorgan is the broker to the deal. Singtel owned 9.49% equity in Bharti Airtel as of March 2025. The company has been a strategic investor in India’s major telecom giant since 2000. It divested a 3.3% stake in 2022 for Rs 12,895 crore to Bharti Telecom, Airtel’s holding company, as per media reports. Last year, it sold a 0.8% stake for Rs 5,850 crore to Rajiv Jain’s GQG Partners.

Why it Matters:

Singtel’s ₹8,568 crore share sale signals a strategic trimming of its long-held stake in Bharti Airtel, potentially altering the stock’s ownership dynamics. As a major promoter since 2000, its gradual exit raises questions on future involvement. The block deal may impact Airtel’s stock price and investor sentiment in the short term.

Desh Duniya Bazaar

Around the World

Asian markets were mostly flat to negative on Friday. Japan’s Nikkei dropped after its Q1 GDP shrank 0.7%—much worse than expected—mainly due to weak exports and low local spending. This raised hopes that the Bank of Japan might pause rate hikes. Meanwhile, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell over 1% as Alibaba shares tumbled 5% after missing Q4 revenue and cloud earnings estimates. JD.com also declined, showing weak consumer demand in China. However, Netease surged over 15% on strong results. Chinese indices fell slightly, but still ended the week higher due to a temporary trade tariff cut between the U.S. and China. Investors, however, remain cautious as no permanent trade deal is in sight. Australian stocks outperformed, with the ASX 200 hitting a two-month high on hopes of a rate cut. U.S. futures traded mildly lower, while Gift Nifty hinted at a soft opening in India after a strong rally earlier this week.

Option Traders Corner

Max Pain

Nifty 50 – 25000

Bank Nifty – 55000

Nifty 50 – 24890 (Pivot)

Support – 24,665, 24,269, 24,043

Resistance – 25,287, 25,512, 25,909

Bank Nifty – 55096 (Pivot)

Support – 54,701, 54,047, 53,653

Resistance – 55,750, 56,144, 56,798

 Have you checked our latest YouTube Video

Did you know?

India’s Retail Investor Surge: Market Participation Hits Record Highs in 2024

India’s stock market has seen a 36% rise in retail participation, with over 50 million investors active by 2024. This surge is driven by increased financial literacy, digital trading platforms, and government initiatives. Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) have also gained popularity, with monthly contributions hitting ₹14,000 crore in early 2025. These trends reflect growing confidence in India’s equity markets.

Newsletter: 15th May 2025

Eicher Hits New Milestone

Aaj Ka Bazaar

Wall Street indices traded mixed on Wednesday as investors awaited the next round of economic data after a strong start to the week, driven by softer inflation data and easing of US-China trade tensions. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 89.37 points to 42,051.06, while the S&P 500 edged up 6.03 points to 5,892.58. Asian markets fell after five consecutive sessions of gains. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 1.09%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dropped 0.5%, and China’s CSI 300 slipped 0.93%. Indian benchmark indices are expected to open on a positive note, supported by strong quarterly earnings and trading activities of foreign investors. Market participants are also closely watching for a speech by US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell later in the day. On the stock-specific front, real estate developer Brigade Enterprises Ltd. announced the acquisition of a prime 5.41-acre land parcel on Velachery Road in Chennai for Rs. 441.7 crores. The planned development will span 0.8 million square feet and is expected to yield a gross development value (GDV) of approximately Rs. 1,600 crores.

Markets Around Us

BSE Sensex 81,142.88 (-0.23%)

Nifty 5024,611.70 (-0.22%)

Bank Nifty54,618.70 (-0.33%)

Dow Jones41,904.61 (-0.35%)

Nasdaq 19,146.81 (0.72%)

FTSE 8,585.01 (-0.21%)

Nikkei 22537,719.63 (-1.07%)

Hang Seng 23,588.93 (-0.22%)

Sector: Automobiles

Eicher Motors Q4: Volume Fuels Growth

Eicher Motors has demonstrated remarkable strategic resilience and brand strength during the quarter, particularly through the performance of Royal Enfield. The milestone of selling over one million motorcycles in a year for the first time reflects both effective product innovation and a strong customer connection. Despite a competitive market, Royal Enfield remained focused, launching six new models that blended heritage with modern performance and growing its global presence through new CKD operations. The company’s entry into electric mobility with the Flying Flea model demonstrates its progressive mindset, positioning it well for the evolving urban mobility landscape. Additionally, its strong international growth, brand recognition for product quality, and community building initiatives like Motoverse reinforce Royal Enfield’s cultural significance and global aspirations. In commercial vehicles, VECV’s ability to grow volumes and maintain its leadership in the LMD segment showcases operational strength. Its ongoing innovations, such as LNG-powered trucks and EV expansion, showcase a clear alignment with future trends in logistics and sustainability.

Why it Matters:

Eicher Motors’ record-breaking Royal Enfield sales and global expansion highlight strong brand equity and strategic execution. Its entry into electric and LNG-powered vehicles signals a clear focus on future mobility trends. Consistent performance in the commercial vehicle space further cements its leadership and operational strength.

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

JSWSTEEL – 1012.50 (2.35%)

HEROMOTOCO – 4149.00 (2.01%)

SHRIRAMFIN– 658.40 (0.99%)

 

NIFTY 50 LOSERS

POWERGRID – 291.90 (-1.37%)

DRREDDY – 1206.00 (-1.15%)

NTPC – 334.65 (-1.15)

Sector : IT

Infosys Exists Japan JV with Mitsubishi

Infosys Ltd announced the completion of a stake sale in its Japan-based joint venture, HIPUS, to Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI). The move follows an earlier announcement on April 17, 2025, about MHI joining the Infosys-led HIPUS as a strategic investor. HIPUS, focuses on delivering high-quality end-to end procurement solutions, leveraging digital platforms and sourcing expertise for Japanese corporations. Infosys held a majority stake in the joint venture. MHI, a long-standing client of HIPUS, has now acquired a 2% stake from Infosys to deepen its collaboration and explore new business opportunities in the Japanese market. MHI is among the world’s leading industrial groups, operating across energy, infrastructure, machinery, aerospace, and defence sectors. The transaction closed on May 14, 2025, ahead of the previously expected timeline of Q1 FY26, and was subject to standard closing conditions.

Why it Matters:

The stake sale marks Infosys’ strategic exit, allowing Mitsubishi Heavy Industries to deepen its role in HIPUS and drive localized growth. It strengthens MHI’s digital procurement capabilities while reinforcing Infosys’ focus on asset-light, partnership-driven models. The early closure reflects strong alignment and mutual confidence between the two firms.

Desh Duniya Bazaar

Around the World

Asian markets cooled off on Thursday after a strong tech-led rally earlier in the week. Investors are now waiting for Alibaba’s earnings, which could reflect better Chinese consumer and cloud demand. Optimism over a U.S.-China trade deal is fading, as tariffs still remain high. Regional markets were mixed after a flat Wall Street close, and attention is now on a speech by U.S. Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Japan’s Nikkei dropped over 1% ahead of GDP data expected to show a contraction due to weak spending, though higher wages may support growth later in the year. China’s markets slipped slightly but held weekly gains. Tech stocks, especially those linked to AI, saw some pressure after a warning from Coreweave on rising costs. Meanwhile, Australia’s better-than-expected jobs report reduced chances of a rate cut, lifting the ASX slightly. Singapore’s market edged higher, while Indian markets may open softer after recent gains from easing geopolitical tensions.

Option Traders Corner

Max Pain

Nifty 50 – 24500

Bank Nifty – 54800

Nifty 50 – 24656 (Pivot)

Support – 24,545, 24,424, 24,313

Resistance – 24,777, 24,888, 25,009

Bank Nifty – 54833 (Pivot)

Support – 54,458, 54,116, 53,741

Resistance – 55,176, 55,551, 55,893

 Have you checked our latest YouTube Video

Did you know?

India’s Retail Investor Surge: Market Participation Hits Record Highs in 2024

India’s stock market has seen a 36% rise in retail participation, with over 50 million investors active by 2024. This surge is driven by increased financial literacy, digital trading platforms, and government initiatives. Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) have also gained popularity, with monthly contributions hitting ₹14,000 crore in early 2025. These trends reflect growing confidence in India’s equity markets.

Newsletter: 14th May 2025

Hero MotoCorp Powers Ahead, Eyes Europe

Aaj Ka Bazaar

Wall Street indices, except the Dow Jones, rose on Tuesday after US consumer inflation data for April came in lower than expected. The S&P 500 climbed 42.36 points to close at 5,886.55, while the Nasdaq Composite advanced 301.74 points to 19,010.09. However, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 269.67 points to 42,140.43, dragged down by a decline in UnitedHealth shares after the company suspended its annual forecast and its CEO resigned. Asian markets traded cautiously as investors awaited further clarity following the sharp rebound in US markets, which recovered losses on signs of easing trade tensions. Following the global cues, Indian benchmark indices are expected to open on a positive note, with GIFT Nifty indicating a strong start in the green. On the stock-specific front, ITD Cementation India has secured a Rs. 593 crore order for construction work at Jaipur International Airport in Rajasthan.

Markets Around Us

BSE Sensex 81,621.95 (0.58%)

Nifty 5024,736.10 (0.64%)

Bank Nifty55,003.35 (0.11%)

Dow Jones42,200.14 (0.14%)

Nasdaq 19,010.08 (1.61%)

FTSE 8,602.92 (-0.02%)

Nikkei 22538,022.45 (-0.42%)

Hang Seng 23,438.11 (1.41%)

Sector: Automobiles

Hero MotoCorp Q4 Profit Beats Estimates

Hero MotoCorp posted a strong Q4 performance, standing out in a weak two-wheeler market and reinforcing its leadership despite slightly lower sales volumes. The company is seeing good momentum in more profitable segments like 125cc bikes, scooters, and electric vehicles, helped by successful new launches such as the Xpulse 210 and Xoom 160. It’s also working to make the brand more aspirational through efforts like a deeper partnership with Harley-Davidson and high-impact marketing. International expansion is a clear focus Hero has started setting up operations in Southeast Asia, entered Brazil, and is planning to enter Europe and the UK by late 2025. In the electric vehicle space, Hero is being proactive, using both in-house products and strategic investments to stay ahead of market and regulatory shifts. This combination of strong execution, product innovation, and global ambition puts the company in a solid position for future growth.

Why it Matters:

Hero MotoCorp’s strong Q4 performance is important because it shows the company can grow profits even when the overall two-wheeler market is weak. Its focus on higher-margin products, electric vehicles, and global expansion indicates a clear strategy for long-term growth. These moves not only strengthen its market position but also build investor confidence as the company adapts to changing consumer preferences and regulatory trends.

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

TATASTEEL – 156.70 (4.87%)

SHRIRAMFIN – 654.05 (3.23%)

HINDALCO– 649.30 (2.29%)

 

NIFTY 50 LOSERS

ASIANPAINT – 2292.10 (-1.40%)

TATAMOTORS – 698.60 (-1.29%)

CIPLA – 1504.40 (-1.03)

Sector : Telecom

Bharti Airtel Profit jumps on Tariffs

Bharti Airtel posted a strong result in Q4FY25, supported by increased tariffs. The company’s ARPU of Rs. 245 remained the highest in the industry. This reflects the positive absorption of tariff hikes, robust smartphone data customer additions, and an improved customer mix. The company is expected to continue this growth trajectory, driven by a sustained focus on premiumizing the portfolio with quality customers and the consolidation of Indus Towers. The company continues to diversify its portfolio to drive long-term growth. Its recent partnership with SpaceX’s Starlink will help expand internet access in remote areas, boosting future revenue. Looking ahead, the company’s strategic partnership, gaining market share and enhanced ability to meet the customer’s overall needs are expected to drive its overall performance in the long run. Key areas to monitor will include progress on 5G adoption, capital expenditure trajectory, trends in prepaid-to-postpaid conversions, and traction in home broadband.

Why it Matters:

Bharti Airtel’s strong Q4 results highlight its ability to grow profits through tariff hikes and a high-quality customer base. Its leadership in ARPU and strategic moves like the Starlink partnership position it well for long-term growth. Monitoring 5G rollout, capex trends, and broadband traction will be key for future performance.

Desh Duniya Bazaar

Around the World

Asian stock markets were mixed on Wednesday. Hong Kong and South Korea gained over 1.5%, helped by strong tech performance on Wall Street, especially NVIDIA’s rally after a major AI chip deal. Japan’s markets, however, fell as the yen strengthened due to rising expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike, which hurts exporters. U.S.-China trade tensions eased slightly, with both countries agreeing to temporarily cut tariffs for 90 days, but the rally from that news seemed to fade as focus shifted to upcoming trade talks. Chinese markets were flat, as the tariff deal reduced hopes for more government stimulus. Elsewhere, markets in Australia and Singapore were slightly lower, and India’s futures remained flat due to geopolitical tensions. The next key watch will be the BOJ meeting on May 19-20, where rate decisions may impact Japanese markets further, especially with wholesale inflation rising to 4% in April, keeping pressure on policy tightening.

Option Traders Corner

Max Pain

Nifty 50 – 24600

Bank Nifty – 55000

Nifty 50 – 24699 (Pivot)

Support – 24,425, 24,273, 23,999

Resistance – 24,852, 25,126, 25,278

Bank Nifty – 55109 (Pivot)

Support – 54,719, 54,498, 54,108

Resistance – 55,330, 55,720, 55,941

 Have you checked our latest YouTube Video

Did you know?

India’s Retail Investor Surge: Market Participation Hits Record Highs in 2024

India’s stock market has seen a 36% rise in retail participation, with over 50 million investors active by 2024. This surge is driven by increased financial literacy, digital trading platforms, and government initiatives. Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) have also gained popularity, with monthly contributions hitting ₹14,000 crore in early 2025. These trends reflect growing confidence in India’s equity markets.