Weekly Report: 16th May, 2026

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By

The key benchmarks indices ended the week with steep losses, snapping two-week gains after Prime Minister, Narendra Modi, urged citizens to adopt austerity measures amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. The measures included reducing petrol and diesel consumption, avoiding non-essential gold purchases and curbing foreign travel. Investor sentiment was further dented by escalating geopolitical tensions in West Asia. The rupee weakened to 96 against the dollar, while crude oil prices surged above the $100-per-barrel mark, fueling fears of higher inflation in medium-term. Inflationary worries also intensified after both WPI and CPI inflation edged higher due to the ongoing conflict. Going ahead, investors will closely monitor upcoming Q4 earnings reports, movement in crude oil and gold prices, and the US stance on the West Asia conflict.

Week Ahead

Indian equities head into the next trading week on a cautious note as macro uncertainty continues to rise while geopolitical tensions remain persistent. In the US, inflationary pressures intensified, with April consumer inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-on-year from 3.3% in March, largely driven by a sharp rise in energy prices amid the ongoing Iran conflict, reinforcing expectations of a prolonged higher-for-longer interest-rate environment. Domestically, India’s retail inflation edged up to 3.48% in April, while wholesale inflation surged to a 3.5-year high of 8.3%, reflecting mounting fuel and input-cost pressures from elevated crude prices. Meanwhile, in China, consumer inflation rose 1.2% year-on-year in April, even as weak credit demand persisted with new bank loans unexpectedly contracting during the month. Against this backdrop of rising inflation risks, elevated oil prices and currency volatility, Indian equities may remain cautious, with investors closely tracking global central-bank signals, crude-oil movements and foreign capital flows for near-term direction.

Technical Overview
  • The Nifty 50 index continues to remain in a broad corrective structure, with the recent weekly candle reflecting renewed selling pressure after a failed recovery attempt near the 24,000–23,900 resistance cluster.
  • The index is trading below the 20-week and 50-week moving averages, while the weekly moving average ribbon remains negatively aligned, confirming that the primary trend continues to favour sellers.
  • The recent weekly candle has formed a bearish rejection structure with a weak closing, highlighting that buyers are still struggling to sustain momentum at higher levels.
  • The zone around 23,800–24,000 is acting as an immediate supply area, where repeated rejection candles and lower highs are visible, indicating active distribution by stronger hands.
  • Immediate support is now placed near 23,500–23,200, followed by a stronger structural support at 22,750–22,200.
  • On the upside, only a sustainable move above 24,000–24,300 can trigger fresh short covering and open the path toward 24,800–25,000.
  • Volume activity during the recent pullback has remained relatively elevated, suggesting that the market is witnessing active participation from both sides rather than complete exhaustion.
  • The recovery from lower levels appears more like a technical pullback within a broader corrective cycle, rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
  • RSI (Weekly) has cooled down from higher levels and is now drifting near the mid-zone, reflecting loss of bullish momentum and market indecision.
  • Conclusion: Nifty 50 continues to trade within a fragile recovery structure inside a broader corrective trend. The inability to reclaim and sustain above the 24,000–24,300 resistance zone keeps the overall market texture cautious. As long as the index remains below 24,300–24,500, the market is likely to witness volatile range-bound action with a negative bias. Any breakdown below 23,500 may accelerate selling pressure toward the 23,200 and 22,450 zones. For a meaningful structural reversal, the index needs a high-volume breakout above the major moving average cluster, which would confirm stronger institutional participation and shift the market back toward a bullish trajectory.

To view the detailed report click here to   Download 

Weekly Report: 9th May, 2026

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By

Indian equity markets ended the week on a positive note, with the Sensex and Nifty posting modest gains. Sentiment was supported by robust Q4 earnings from select autos, IT, real estate, and renewable energy names, alongside improving domestic macro indicators reflected in resilient manufacturing and services PMI readings. However, performance was stock-specific, with several large-cap counters witnessing profit booking despite overall index strength. Global cues remained mixed, with optimism around a potential US–Iran understanding supporting risk appetite, while persistent inflation pressures and elevated energy prices kept caution intact. Despite intermittent volatility driven by geopolitical developments and sectoral rotations, strong domestic liquidity, healthy earnings momentum, and steady institutional participation helped sustain the broader upward bias through the week.

Week Ahead

Indian equities head into the next trading week with heightened sensitivity to global macro and geopolitical developments. Escalating tensions in West Asia continued to keep energy markets volatile, with Brent crude remaining above $100 per barrel, raising concerns around imported inflation, currency stability and global growth. Domestically, India’s manufacturing activity remained resilient, though growth stayed near a four-year low, with the HSBC India Manufacturing PMI rising marginally to 54.7 in April from 53.9 in March, while war-driven fuel costs pushed input-price pressures to their highest level since August 2022. Currency markets also remained under pressure, with the Indian rupee weakening toward record lows near 95.3 against the US dollar, reflecting elevated crude prices and cautious foreign flows. Against this backdrop of geopolitical uncertainty and rising cost pressures, Indian equities may remain range-bound, with investors closely tracking oil prices, inflation trends, central-bank signals and quarterly earnings for near-term direction.

Technical Overview
  • The Nifty 50 has transitioned into a healthy consolidation phase this week, successfully digesting the overextended momentum generated by the prior fortnight’s vertical recovery. The index is currently navigating a shallow retracement, finding institutional demand near established support bases as it prepares for its next directional impulse.
  • On the weekly chart, price action has resulted in a small-bodied candle with an upper shadow, signaling a temporary equilibrium. This structure effectively creates a higher base above the critical 23,800-23,950 demand zone, neutralizing the capitulation bias of early April.
  • The index is currently sandwiched between two major technical pivot zones. It faced sharp rejection at the 50-DMA, but is showing resilience by holding the dynamic support of the short-term EMAs. The long-term 200-DMA, now descending, remains the primary positional overhead target.
  • Intraday charts reveal a consolidation block between 23,850 and 24,250. This range-bound behavior is typical of a Buy on Dips environment where the market seeks to absorb supply before challenging higher resistance clusters.
  • The daily RSI has gracefully cooled from recent peaks to a neutral reading of 52.40. This mean-reversion in momentum is technically constructive, as it provides the index with sufficient headroom to resume its upward trajectory without immediate oscillators being overheated.
  • The immediate pivot floor is firmly established a 23,850 – 23,950. A sustained close below this zone would violate the current higher-base formation, potentially leading to a deeper retracement toward the psychological 23,500 mark.
  • The formidable supply zone is stationed at 24,450 – 24,550. A high-volume breakout above this hurdle will trigger a momentum expansion phase, targeting the 25,000 – 25,100 zone where the 200-DMA resides.
  • The bullish crossover on the daily MACD remains active, although the histogram has begun to flatten. This signifies a deceleration in vertical velocity, perfectly aligning with the current sideways market texture.
  • Conclusion: The Nifty 50 is undergoing a textbook supply-absorption phase after its sharp structural reversal. The index is finding support exactly where expected—at the previous breakout neckline and the 23,850 base while encountering supply at the descending 50-DMA. The current setup is a low-volatility retracement that allows momentum indicators to reset. As long as the 23,850 – 23,950 demand base is defended on a closing basis, the technical bias remains constructive. A decisive breakout above the 50-DMA is the prerequisite for a move toward the 200-DMA and a complete structural trend reboot.

To view the detailed report click here to   Download 

Weekly Report: 1st May, 2026

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By

Markets ended the week on a muted and volatile note, with early optimism driven by easing geopolitical tensions and steady Q4 earnings gradually fading due to rising crude oil prices, weak global cues, and persistent FII outflows. The S&P BSE Sensex gained 0.32% to close at 76,913, while the Nifty 50 rose 0.41% to settle at 23,998, reflecting a largely range-bound and choppy market. Broader markets showed resilience, with midcaps posting modest gains and smallcaps outperforming. Sentiment remained cautious amid rupee weakness, exit poll uncertainty, and continued foreign selling pressure. On the macro front, India’s industrial production growth slowed to 4.1% in March, indicating some moderation in economic activity. Among stocks, gains in Reliance Industries, IndusInd Bank, and Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services were offset by declines in Axis Bank, Shriram Finance, and Hindustan Unilever. Globally, strong data from China and a status quo stance by the Federal Reserve were overshadowed by rising oil prices and geopolitical concerns. Overall, despite intermittent recovery attempts, external headwinds kept markets indecisive through the week.

Week Ahead

The week ahead is likely to remain volatile, driven by rising crude oil prices and a packed earnings calendar. Brent crude touching $126 amid stalled US-Iran talks, Strait of Hormuz disruptions, and the UAE’s exit from OPEC poses inflationary and currency risks, potentially pressuring the rupee and input costs. The Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged, but slowing global growth adds to caution. Domestically, focus will be on Q4 FY26 results from key companies like Larsen & Toubro, Mahindra & Mahindra, Bajaj Auto, and Dabur India, with management commentary on margins and FY27 outlook being critical. Alongside, PMI data, US payrolls, and global cues will guide sentiment, keeping markets largely event-driven.

Technical Overview
  • Recent price action shows a sharp V-shaped recovery followed by sideways-to-negative consolidation, indicating profit booking and supply absorption near resistance.
  • On the weekly timeframe, price is struggling to sustain above the 24,200–24,300 zone, which is acting as an intermediate supply/resistance after breakdown, indicating that the recovery is losing momentum near the overhead supply.
  • The index is still trading below the 20-week and 50-week moving averages, keeping the broader structure corrective despite the recent bounce
  • The weekly structure continues to reflect a lower high formation, suggesting that the market remains in a sell-on-rise environment unless key resistances are reclaimed.
  • The zone around 24,000–24,200 is acting as a decision area, where both buyers and sellers are active, leading to range-bound behavior.
  • Failure to build acceptance above this zone suggests lack of follow-through buying, increasing the probability of another leg of weakness.
  • Immediate support is placed at 23,800–23,500, followed by a stronger demand cluster at 23,200–22,800.
  • On the upside, only a sustained breakout above 24,500–25,000 can trigger a trend reversal and short covering rally toward higher zones.
  • RSI (Weekly) is hovering near the mid-range after bouncing from oversold levels, indicating neutral momentum with no strong directional bias.
  • MACD (Weekly) remains in negative territory but is flattening out, suggesting bearish momentum is slowing but not reversed yet.
  • Volume during the recovery phase was elevated, but the recent candles show slightly reduced participation, hinting at exhaustion in the pullback rally.
  • Conclusion:The Nifty 50 is currently in a transition phase, with the sharp recovery from lower levels now facing strong resistance near 24,000–24,300. The broader weekly structure still leans corrective, with price unable to reclaim key moving averages. As long as the index trades below 24,500–25,000, the market is likely to remain in a range-to-bearish setup, with intermittent pullbacks facing selling pressure. A decisive move above resistance is required for a trend reversal, while a failure to hold 23,800 may drag the index back toward the 23,200–22,800 demand zones, keeping the bias cautious in the near term.

To view the detailed report click here to   Download 

Weekly Report: 26th April, 2026

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By

Indian equity benchmarks ended the week on a weaker note as crude oil prices surged nearly 8-10%, crossing the $105 per barrel mark amid escalating geopolitical tensions in West Asia and concerns over potential supply disruptions. The sharp rise in crude prices heightened worries about inflation, a widening import bill, and added pressure on India’s fiscal position. Market sentiment was further dampened by signs of slowing domestic economic activity and softer consumption trends. Additionally, Moody’s downgrade of India’s growth outlook weighed on expectations for earnings growth. Heightened global uncertainty and a risk-off approach by foreign institutional investors led to sustained selling pressure, particularly in the latter half of the week. Overall, elevated crude prices, macroeconomic concerns, and profit booking kept markets under pressure.

Week Ahead

The coming week is expected to be influenced by persistent geopolitical uncertainties alongside a gradually stabilizing domestic macro environment. On the energy front, Brent crude rose above $106 per barrel this week as tensions between the US and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz remained unresolved, despite an extension of the fragile ceasefire by Trump. Reports suggest that even if the strait reopens, supply constraints and infrastructure damage could keep Brent crude in the $80-$90 per barrel range, still significantly above pre-conflict levels. This is likely to continue exerting pressure on India’s import bill and corporate margins. On the domestic front, Industrial Production data for March 2026 is scheduled for release on Tuesday, followed by foreign exchange reserves data for the week ending April 24 on Friday. Globally, key data points include China’s NBS Manufacturing PMI for April 2026 on Thursday, while the US Federal Reserve will announce its latest monetary policy decision on Wednesday.

Technical Overview
  • The Nifty 50 index entered a corrective consolidation phase this week, taking a necessary and breather after the institutional buying witnessed in the preceding sessions. The price action indicates a digestion of recent gains rather than a structural breakdown.
  • On the weekly chart, the index has formed a retracement candle, signifying a pause in the upward momentum. This structure validates that the market is absorbing overhead supply and attempting to carve out a base before initiating the next directional impulse.
  • The daily chart reveals a textbook mean-reversion pullback. The index is undergoing a retracement of the prior markup phase, finding active buying interest near the minor Fibonacci retracement levels. This correction confirms that the structural uptrend remains intact.
  • The immediate structural demand base is clustered around the 23,350 – 23,400 zone. A sustained high-volume close below this base would violate the immediate trendline, potentially triggering a deeper retracement toward the 23,000 breakout neckline.
  • The index is currently consolidating around its short-term Exponential Moving Average, utilizing them as dynamic support zones. Furthermore, the ascending trendline from the recent structural lows remains unviolated, confirming the base is structurally sound.
  • The immediate overhead supply is stationed at 24,000 – 24,280. A decisive daily close above this resistance cluster will confirm the completion of the consolidation phase, triggering a fresh momentum breakout with an initial technical target of 24,600.
  • The daily RSI has gracefully cooled off from its recent highs, currently stabilizing in the 55-60 zone. This cooling-off is highly constructive, as it removes the speculative froth from the market and resets the momentum indicators for the next leg up without slipping into bearish territory.
  • Trading volumes have visibly contracted during this week’s downward retracement days. A drop in volume during a correction is a classic hallmark of a secondary reaction, confirming a lack of aggressive institutional selling pressure at lower levels.
  • The daily MACD reflects the current consolidation. While the MACD line remains positioned above the signal line, the bullish histogram has begun to contract slightly. This indicates a temporary deceleration in upside momentum, perfectly aligning with a sideways base-building phase.
  • Conclusion: The Nifty 50 is undergoing a textbook, low-volume consolidation after a period of robust structural buying. This healthy retracement is allowing the index to cool off overheated momentum indicators and establish a solid higher base around its short-term EMAs. The structural integrity of the recent reversal remains uncompromised as long as the immediate ascending trendline is defended. The market texture is characterized by supply absorption, and the technical setup is primed for a continuation of the primary uptrend once this consolidation block is decisively resolved to the upside.

To view the detailed report click here to   Download 

Weekly Report: 18th April, 2026

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By

Global and domestic markets remained volatile during the week, driven largely by movements in crude oil prices and evolving geopolitical developments. Indian equities declined sharply early in the week as crude surged above $100 per barrel, triggering risk-off sentiment and pressure on crude-sensitive sectors such as aviation and paints, while select EV-linked names showed relative resilience. Sentiment improved in the latter half as crude prices moderated on optimism around negotiations, leading to a broad-based recovery supported by metals, IT and financials, along with improved participation from midcaps and smallcaps and selective FII inflows. Overall, the week was marked by an initial correction followed by a recovery, with crude prices and geopolitical cues remaining the key drivers.

Week Ahead

Markets are likely to remain highly event-driven in the week ahead, with developments around the US-Iran situation and the ceasefire timeline emerging as the single most important trigger for global risk sentiment. The outcome here remains binary, with any extension or progress in negotiations likely to ease crude prices and support risk assets, while a breakdown could trigger a sharp reversal led by renewed oil spikes. Brent crude trajectory will therefore be closely tracked, given its direct implications for inflation expectations, currency stability and capital flows into emerging markets like India. Alongside this, key global data points such as US retail sales and flash PMIs will provide cues on growth momentum amid a softening macro backdrop. On the domestic front, focus will shift to the Q4FY26 earnings season, with BFSI and IT results expected to drive index direction, particularly through management commentary on margins, credit growth and demand outlook. FII flows will remain a critical monitorables after recent volatility, with any sustained reversal potentially amplifying market moves. With no major domestic macro triggers, markets are likely to remain largely influenced by global cues, while earnings outcomes drive stock-specific action. Overall, the near-term outlook remains contingent on crude price trends and geopolitical clarity, with markets likely to stay volatile but biased toward direction based on external developments.

Technical Overview

The Nifty 50 index has witnessed a strong pullback rally from the 22,400–22,600 demand zone, forming a meaningful bullish weekly candle, indicating that the recent capitulation phase has transitioned into a relief recovery phase.

On the weekly chart, price has reclaimed the 24,000–24,300 zone, which earlier acted as a breakdown area. This zone is now attempting to flip from resistance to support, making it a crucial structural pivot.

The recent weekly candle shows a strong real body with limited lower shadow, highlighting aggressive buying interest and short covering near lower levels.

However, despite the recovery, the index is still trading below the 20-week and 50-week moving averages cluster indicating that the broader trend remains under pressure and rallies are still corrective in nature.

The immediate resistance is placed near 24,800–25,000, followed by a stronger supply zone at 25,500–26,000, where prior distribution was seen.

On the downside, immediate support is now seen at 23,800–23,600, while the major demand base remains intact at 22,800–22,200.

The recovery leg shows a sharp V-shaped bounce, typically driven by short covering rather than fresh positional buying, as seen by the speed of the move. The index has retraced into the prior breakdown zone, where supply is expected to emerge. This makes the current zone a make-or-break level for confirming the trend

Recent structure indicates a range formation between 22,200 and 25,000, suggesting that the market may enter a time-wise consolidation phase after the sharp decline and recovery. The inability to sustain above 24,500–25,000 may lead to renewed selling pressure, while acceptance above this zone can trigger a short covering extension toward higher supply zones.

RSI (Weekly) has bounced from oversold territory and is now moving toward the mid-zone, indicating loss of bearish momentum but not yet bullish strength.

Conclusion: The Nifty 50 is currently in a recovery phase following a sharp corrective move, with prices reclaiming key short-term levels. However, the broader weekly structure still reflects a corrective trend within a larger range. As long as the index sustains above 24,000–23,800, the pullback can extend toward 24,800–25,000. A decisive breakout above this zone is required to confirm trend reversal. Failure to sustain above reclaimed levels may result in the market slipping back toward 23,200–22,800 zones, keeping the structure range-bound with a bearish bias at higher levels.

To view the detailed report click here to   Download 

Weekly Report: 11th April, 2026

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By

Indian equities ended the week with strong gains, supported by broad based buying and improving global sentiment following a temporary US Iran ceasefire, although underlying volatility remained elevated amid lingering geopolitical risks. Benchmark indices rallied sharply, with the Sensex surging over 5.7% and the Nifty gaining nearly 6%, while broader markets outperformed, driven by strong traction across financials, autos and select consumption plays. Domestic sentiment was further supported by a stable macro environment and the RBI maintaining a balanced policy stance, highlighting resilience in growth while cautioning on rising global risks. High frequency indicators such as services and composite PMIs moderated slightly, pointing to some cooling in momentum, even as growth remained firmly in expansion. Globally, easing tensions supported risk appetite, though concerns around energy prices, supply chain disruptions and slowing global growth continued to keep investors watchful.

Week Ahead

Indian equities enter the week on a relatively steady footing supported by resilient domestic demand signals, with services PMI remaining strong at 61, even as rising inflation trends and a widening trade deficit warrant caution. Investors will closely track key macro prints including CPI, WPI, unemployment and trade data for cues on inflation trajectory and growth sustainability, particularly ahead of the ongoing earnings season where margin pressures from elevated input costs remain a key monitorable. Globally, the backdrop remains mixed, with resilient US labour data tempering expectations of aggressive rate cuts, while weak inflation in China points to subdued demand conditions. At the same time, elevated crude oil prices, with Brent sustaining above $96 per barrel amid disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, continue to pose stagflation risks, keeping global sentiment and market volatility sensitive to further macro developments.

Technical Overview

 

  • The Nifty 50 index has staged a spectacular structural recovery this week, reversing the prior capitulation phase. Finding a robust demand floor near the 23,200 territory, the index orchestrated a relentless rally to close the week with massive gains near 24,000.
  • On the weekly chart, the index has printed a massive Bullish Engulfing candle. This aggressive green real body almost entirely retraces the previous week’s panic sell-off, signaling a potent transfer of control from sellers back to institutional buyers.
  • The daily chart reveals a decisive breakout from a short-term base. The index gapped up and aggressively sliced through the initial resistance overheads, converting the prior 23,500 supply overhang into a newly established demand floor.
  • The index has decisively reclaimed territory above its short-term moving average ribbons on the daily timeframe. These averages are now curling upwards, indicating that the immediate trend has flipped from a markdown phase to a fresh markup cycle.
  • The immediate bedrock support has now shifted higher to the breakout neckline at 23,600 – 23,500. A sustained close back below this newly minted floor would invalidate the breakout, potentially dragging the index back into the previous capitulation zone near 23,000.
  • The immediate technical hurdle and near-term target is stationed at the previous structural breakdown zone of 24,300 – 24,400. A high-volume daily close above this resistance cluster will confirm a complete structural trend reversal, opening the pathway toward the 25,000 supply zones.
  • The recovery rally was characterized by healthy institutional accumulation volumes, particularly visible on the breakaway gap days on the lower timeframes. This volume profile legitimizes the bounce as a structural reversal rather than a mere dead-cat bounce.
  • The daily RSI has executed a textbook V-shape recovery directly from the deeply oversold zone, surging past the neutral 50-mark to trade firmly in bullish territory. This structural reset mathematically validates the return of underlying buying momentum.
  • The daily MACD has registered a sharp bullish crossover deep below the zero line, with the histogram aggressively expanding into positive territory. This is a high-conviction buy signal confirming the exhaustion of the prior downtrend.
  • Conclusion:The Nifty 50 has engineered a breathtaking technical reversal, violently negating the prior week’s capitulation by forging a massive bullish reversal candle on the weekly timeframe. By establishing a rock-solid base at 23,000 and subsequently slicing through the 23,200 neckline with conviction, the market texture has definitively transitioned from Sell on Rise back to Buy on Dips. The strong momentum indicators—specifically the RSI surging past 50 and a fresh MACD buy signal confirms that institutional demand has actively absorbed the overhead supply. Moving forward, as long as the newly formed 23,500 support floor remains unbreached, the index is structurally primed to challenge the major overhead supply zones and potentially engineer a complete trend reboot.

To view the detailed report click here to   Download 

Weekly Report: 03rd April, 2026

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By

Domestic equity benchmarks ended the week slightly lower, remaining range-bound amid volatility driven by US-Iran tensions and elevated crude oil prices. While markets rebounded mid-week on easing geopolitical concerns and softer oil, supported by IT and metal stocks persistent FII outflows, rupee weakness, and inflation worries kept sentiment cautious. For the week, the S&P BSE Sensex fell 0.36% to 73,319.55 and the Nifty 50 declined 0.47% to 22,713.10, with midcaps lagging and smallcaps showing resilience. Macro cues were mixed, as stronger IIP growth (5.2%) contrasted with softer PMI (53.9), indicating slowing momentum. Auto sales remained robust, though stock reactions were mixed, while global signals stayed cautious amid mixed economic data across major regions.  

Week Ahead

Investor sentiment is likely to remain cautious amid persistent macro uncertainty driven by the ongoing US-Iran conflict and elevated crude oil prices, which pose risks to fiscal stability across emerging markets, including India, despite the country maintaining fiscal discipline with FY26 deficit at ~95% of the revised target by February. Global cues remain mixed, with the US showing signs of easing inflation (core PCE at 2.6%), supporting expectations of policy easing, while China continues to exhibit steady momentum with PMI above 50 and strong trade performance, though growth remains moderate. In India, near-term focus will be on key data releases including Services and Composite PMI, along with the upcoming monetary policy decision by the Reserve Bank of India, which has maintained a cautious stance after recent rate cuts. Globally, investors will track US macro indicators such as ISM Services PMI, inflation data, GDP growth, FOMC minutes, and consumer sentiment, alongside China’s trade, GDP, industrial production, and retail sales data. With oil price volatility and slowing global growth signals in play, markets are expected to remain sensitive to inflation trends, central bank commentary, and cross-asset movements for directional cues.

Technical Overview
  • The Nifty 50 index continues to remain under strong corrective pressure, but recent price action indicates an attempt to stabilise near the lower demand zone of 22,100–22,300 after an extended decline.
  • On the weekly timeframe, the index has formed a small-bodied candle after a sharp fall, suggesting early signs of selling exhaustion, but no confirmed reversal yet. Price is still trading well below the 20- and 50-week moving averages, maintaining a bearish bias.
  • The breakdown below 23,500 and 23,200 has now firmly converted these levels into strong overhead resistance zones, and any pullback towards these areas is likely to face supply pressure.
  • On the daily chart, the market is showing a temporary pause after a vertical fall, with price attempting to hold above the 22,400–22,700 band. However, the structure still reflects a downtrend with lower highs and lower lows intact.
  • The recent candles indicate short covering / relief bounce, rather than fresh buying, as there is no strong bullish follow-through or expansion in range on the upside.
  • The zone of 22,100–22,300 is acting as immediate demand, and this aligns with a prior swing base, making it a critical short-term support.
  • If this support holds, a pullback toward 23,200–23,500 can be expected, but this move will likely remain corrective in nature unless strong volume supports the upside breakout.
  • A decisive breakdown below 22,100 will open further downside toward 21,700–21,500 zone, which is the next major weekly demand area.
  • MACD continues to stay negative, though histogram contraction suggests slowing downside momentum
  • Conclusion:Nifty is currently in a bearish trend with early signs of stabilisation near key support, but there is no confirmation of trend reversal yet. The market appears to be transitioning from a sharp decline into a possible consolidation or pullback phase. As long as the price sustains below the 23,200–23,500 resistance, the overall bias remains negative. Any upside move is likely to be sold into unless supported by strong momentum and volume. A breakdown below 22,100 can extend the correction toward 21,700–21,500, while holding above this zone may lead to a short-term relief rally within a broader downtrend..

To view the detailed report click here to   Download 

Weekly Report: 28th March, 2026

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By

Indian equity benchmarks ended the week lower, reflecting swings in global cues and heightened Middle East tensions. Early losses were driven by concerns over energy supply disruptions, a weakening rupee, which touched a record low of 94/$, and a surge in market volatility, with the Nifty falling below 22,600. Midweek gains followed reports of potential U.S.-Iran negotiations and a temporary pause on strikes, boosting risk appetite and pushing the Nifty above 23,300. On the geopolitical front, sentiment remained fragile despite a temporary breather. GIFT Nifty rose over 3% after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a five-day pause on planned strikes targeting Iran’s energy infrastructure, citing “productive” talks and signaling short-term de-escalation. Global investors remained cautious amid limited diplomatic progress. Reports indicated indirect exchanges between Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff, though Tehran denied recent direct contact.

Week Ahead

Indian equities enter the next trading week with sentiment largely shaped by evolving global macro signals and steady domestic undercurrents. In the US, the Federal Reserve maintained a cautious stance, signalling a data-dependent approach amid persistent inflation concerns, keeping global risk appetite measured. Back home, India’s high-frequency indicators pointed to stable growth momentum, with resilient services activity and continued strength in core sectors supporting the macro backdrop. Meanwhile, in China, authorities reiterated policy support for growth alongside efforts to stabilise the property sector, aiding broader Asian market sentiment despite lingering structural concerns. For the week ahead, crude trajectory and Iran ceasefire developments remain the dominant swing factors with stabilisation of the rupee being a prerequisite for any durable return of the FII cohort.

Technical Overview
  • The Nifty 50 index extended its severe capitulation phase this week, tumbling further to register new multi-month lows before finding a temporary, fragile respite. The index closed the week with heavy structural losses near 22,819.60.
  • On the weekly chart, the index formed another prominent Bearish Candle, confirming that institutional sellers retain absolute structural control. The consecutive large red candles illustrate a textbook transition into a primary markdown phase.
  • The daily chart highlights the ferocity of the sell-off, marked by steep runaway Gaps that remain conspicuously unfilled. However, the emergence of a small-bodied consolidation candle on the final trading session suggests that the immediate downward momentum is temporarily pausing as the market hits deeply oversold extremes.
  • The short-term moving average ribbons have expanded widely and are angled aggressively downwards. These dynamic moving averages will now serve as severe overhead resistance across all lower and intermediate timeframes.
  • The immediate critical support floor is resting at the recent panic lows of 22,700 – 22,600 A sustained breakdown below this fragile base will likely trigger fresh algorithmic selling and margin calls, opening a downside trapdoor toward the major psychological and structural support at 22,500.
  • The overhead supply zone is clustered around the recent breakdown gaps at 23,100 – 23,200.Only a high-volume daily close above this resistance block would begin to neutralize the terminal bearishness, potentially triggering a short-covering squeeze toward the 23,500 supply overhang.
  • On the intraday timeframes, the index is attempting to carve out a minor base consolidation block near the 22,800 territory. This tightly wound price action indicates an impending volatility expansion, likely resolving the immediate short-term direction.
  • The volume profile remains heavily skewed toward distribution. The downside legs on the weekly chart were accompanied by massive volume spikes, confirming intense institutional liquidation and the capitulation of remaining long portfolios. The slight stabilization at the end of the week occurred on relatively average volume, indicating an exhaustion of immediate selling pressure rather than the arrival of strong, high-conviction buying.
  • Conclusion:The Nifty 50 remains tightly in the grips of a ferocious structural downtrend. While extreme oversold conditions and the recent daily consolidation candle hint at the mathematical probability of a technical relief rally, the broader market texture remains strictly “Sell on Rise”. The unfilled downside gaps and descending moving averages have established formidable supply overhangs. A protracted period of base-building and supply absorption is technically required before any genuine trend reversal can be entertained.

To view the detailed report click here to   Download 

Weekly Report: 21st March, 2026

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By

The key equity indices witnessed marginal losses during the week amid weak global cues, persistent selling pressure and volatility in crude oil prices. Investor sentiment remained cautious due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns over the global growth outlook. The ongoing conflict in the region also overshadowed key domestic macroeconomic data, including trade deficit and wholesale inflation figures. Market participants also tracked policy signals from major central banks such as those of U.S, Switzerland, the UK, Japan and the Eurozone. The Nifty ended the week below the 23,150 mark.On the economic front, India’s merchandise trade deficit narrowed to $27.1 billion in February from $34.68 billion in January. 

Week Ahead

Dalal Street heads into the new week walking a tightrope, with investor sentiment remaining fragile amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Traders are increasingly cautious, reluctant to carry positions as uncertainty continues to cloud near-term visibility. The undertone is clear: this is not yet a full-fledged recovery, but a market caught between hope and hesitation. At the macro level, multiple headwinds persist. Continued foreign institutional investor (FII) selling remains a key drag on liquidity, while crude oil prices, though off recent highs, are still elevated enough to keep inflation concerns alive. Globally, developments in the Iran-US-Israel conflict and the movement of crude oil prices will remain the dominant drivers of market sentiment. On 24 March 2026, India will release HSBC flash PMI data for March, including Composite, Manufacturing and Services PMI, offering an early snapshot of business activity. On 23 March 2026, the United States will release the Chicago Fed National Activity Index for February, offering a broad gauge of economic activity and growth momentum.

Technical Overview
  • The Nifty 50 index has extended its corrective structure, continuing to trade under strong selling pressure after failing to sustain above the 24,200–24,000 supply zone. Price action clearly reflects a transition from consolidation to the active distribution phase.
  • On the weekly timeframe, the index has formed a decisive bearish continuation, breaking below multiple support levels and now closing near the 23,100–23,150 zone. The absence of strong lower wicks indicates lack of meaningful buying interest at lower levels.
  • The most important structural shift is the clean breakdown below 24,000 and 23,850 levels, which earlier acted as strong demand zones. This confirms that buyers have lost control, and supply dominance has increased significantly.
  • Price is now trading well below the 20-week and 50-week averages, and the gap between price and moving averages is widening, indicating strong downside momentum with no immediate mean reversion yet.
  • On the daily timeframe, the index shows a sharp impulsive down move followed by a weak pullback, forming a typical bearish continuation structure rather than a reversal.
  • The recent bounce from 22,700–22,800 demand zone lacks follow-through, suggesting that it is more of a relief rally rather than fresh accumulation. Sellers are still active on every rise.
  • Structurally, the market is now printing lower highs and lower lows, confirming a well-established short-term downtrend across lower timeframes.
  • Immediate support is placed at 22,700–22,800, and a breakdown below this zone can trigger further downside toward the 22,300–22,000 zone, which is the next major demand area.
  • On the upside, 23,800–24,000 now becomes a strong resistance zone, followed by 24,500–24,600, where heavy supply and moving averages are aligned.
  • Volume behaviour supports the bearish bias, as recent declines are accompanied by rising volumes, indicating institutional selling and long unwinding.
  • Conclusion:Overall, Nifty is in a clear bearish trend after multiple structural breakdowns, with price trading below key moving averages and important support zones. The market has shifted from a range-bound environment to a directional bearish phase. As long as the price remains below the 23,800–24,000 resistance level, the bias remains negative. Any bounce is likely to face selling pressure and act as a pullback within a downtrend. A decisive breakdown below 22,700 could accelerate the fall toward the 22,200 zone, while only a strong reclaim above 24,000–24,500 would signal any meaningful recovery.

To view the detailed report click here to   Download 

Weekly Report: 15th March, 2026

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By

Global markets remained volatile during the week as escalating geopolitical tensions in West Asia and sharp movements in crude oil prices weighed on investor sentiment. US equities traded mixed to lower amid weak labour market data and persistent inflation concerns, while oil prices surged above $100 per barrel on fears of supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz before moderating following the International Energy Agency’s reserve release. Asian markets mirrored the global risk-off sentiment. Domestically, Indian equity markets faced sharp selling pressure due to rising crude prices, persistent FII outflows and weakness in heavyweight financial stocks. The Nifty 50 slipped below the 24,000 mark and extended losses toward the end of the week, with metals, financials, PSU banks and auto stocks leading the decline, while defensive sectors such as FMCG and pharma showed relative resilience.

Week Ahead

Markets are likely to remain volatile in the week ahead as developments in West Asia and movements in crude oil prices continue to dominate global risk sentiment. Brent crude sustaining above the $100 mark is expected to remain a key overhang for global equities. For oil-importing economies like India, elevated energy prices could add pressure on inflation expectations and widen the current account deficit. This may also keep the rupee under pressure and foreign institutional flows cautious. Investor focus will also turn to the US Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting on March 17–18, where markets will watch the policy decision and Chair Jerome Powell’s commentary for cues on the interest-rate trajectory. At the sector level, rising energy costs may create margin pressure for input-sensitive sectors such as aviation, paints, tyres and cement. In contrast, safe-haven assets like gold and silver could continue to attract flows, while defence and infrastructure may show relative resilience supported by strong order pipelines and government-led spending.

Technical Overview
  • The Nifty 50 index has experienced a phase of severe capitulation this week, plunging aggressively and surrendering months of structural gains. The index witnessed relentless institutional liquidation, resulting in a precipitous freefall to close near its absolute weekly lows at 23,151.10.
  • On the weekly chart, the index has printed a massive Bearish Marubozu-like candle with an extensive real body and practically no lower shadow. This dominant price action unequivocally dictates that panic has set in, and sellers maintained absolute control from the first tick of the week to the last.
  • The velocity of this sell-off is characterized by the effortless slicing through multiple critical macro-support foundations. The index violently violated the long-term structural demand zones at 24,850 and subsequently crashed right through the 23,870 level.
  • The daily chart reveals a series of Runaway Gaps to the downside. These unfilled downside gaps are classic hallmarks of an accelerated, high-momentum downtrend where supply drastically overwhelms demand.
  • The index is currently in a freefall seeking a floor. The next major psychological and historical support zone rests around the 22,800 – 23,000 levels. A failure to find a floor at the 23,000 psychological mark will likely trigger further margin calls, extending the panic slide toward the 22,000 – 22,200 structural bases.
  • The previously decimated support levels have now inverted into massive supply overhangs. Immediate severe resistance is stationed at 23,869 – 24,000. Any technical dead-cat bounce toward this zone is expected to encounter aggressive institutional selling. Only a high-volume close above 24,000 would begin to neutralize the immediate terminal bearishness.
  • The capitulation was accompanied by elevated volume profile bars on the daily and weekly down-legs. This confirms that the breakdown is backed by heavy institutional distribution and the forced liquidation of long positions.
  • The daily MACD indicator illustrates profound structural damage. The signal lines have nosedived vertically into negative territory, and the histogram continues to expand aggressively to the downside, confirming severe bearish momentum.
  • The daily RSI has crashed deep into oversold territory. While extremely oversold, it is imperative to note that in a momentum crash of this magnitude, the RSI can remain embedded in the oversold zone for extended periods.
  • Conclusion:The Nifty 50 has sustained catastrophic technical damage, transitioning into a full-blown capitulation phase. The sheer momentum of the decline, coupled with the violation of major trendlines and breakaway downside gaps, indicates a highly toxic market environment for long exposures. The market texture is strictly sell on rise, and attempting to catch a falling knife at current junctures carries extreme risk. The index must establish a multi-day consolidation base before any meaningful reversal can even be considered.

To view the detailed report click here to   Download