Newsletter: 13th January 2025

Waaree's Bold Renewable Move

Aaj Ka Bazaar

All three major US stock market indices ended lower on Friday. In the Asia Pacific region, markets started the week cautiously, with uncertainties over future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve following the latest US jobs data. As a result, Indian markets are expected to remain under pressure on Monday, especially with continued selling by foreign institutional investors adding to the cautious mood. On the stock front, Hindustan Unilever will be in focus as the company has set up a new arm called Kwality Wall’s for the planned demerger of its ice cream business.

Markets Around Us

BSE Sensex –76,858.12 (-0.67%)

Nifty 50 – 23,226.70 (-0.70%)

Bank Nifty – 48,441.20 (-0.60%)

Dow Jones – 41,784.53 (-0.37%)

Nasdaq – 19,173.65 (-1.57%)

FTSE – 8,248.49 (-0.86%)

Nikkei 225 – 39,190.40 (0.00%)

Hang Seng – 18,807.68 (-1.36%)

Sector: Electrical Equipment

Waaree Acquires Enel, Stock Surges

Shares of Waaree Energies rose 3% to ₹2,648 on January 13 after the company announced its plan to acquire Enel Green Power India for ₹792 crore. This move marks Waaree’s entry into the renewable energy sector, adding a solar and wind portfolio with a capacity of 640 MWAC (760 MWDC) to its business. The deal includes projects co-owned with partners where Enel holds a majority stake. With this acquisition, Waaree aims to diversify its revenue, grow its independent power producer (IPP) business, and strengthen its position in wind energy. Enel Green Power, a European leader in renewables, has established a strong presence in India. The transaction, expected to close in three months, is subject to regulatory approvals. Waaree, which made a strong stock market debut in October 2024, has seen its share price correct by 20% over the past month, despite operating multiple manufacturing plants across India.

Why it Matters:

This acquisition positions Waaree Energies as a key player in India’s growing renewable energy market, diversifying its revenue streams. By adding a 640 MW operational portfolio, the company strengthens its wind and solar capabilities. It also aligns with India’s push for sustainable energy solutions, enhancing Waaree’s long-term growth prospects.

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

INDUSINDBK – 964.85 (2.91%)

AXISBANK – 1054.85 (1.36%)

BRITANNIA – 4977.00 (0.77%)

 

NIFTY 50 LOSERS

TRENT – 6406.70 (-2.69%)

M&M – 3016.70 (-2.46%)

APOLLOHOSP– 6883.50 (-2.18%)

Sector: Retail

DMart Falls as Growth Outlook Weakens

Avenue Supermarts, the operator of DMart, reported a modest 4.9% rise in net profit to ₹723.54 crore for Q3 FY24, while revenue grew 17.6% to ₹15,973 crore. However, its EBITDA margin fell to 7.6% from 8.3% last year due to weaker gross margins and higher retail costs. DMart’s shares dropped nearly 6% to ₹3,469.95 after the report. Brokerages lowered price targets, citing rising competition, higher costs, and discounting pressures in the FMCG category as challenges. Morgan Stanley maintained an “underperform” rating, and Nuvama and Motilal Oswal reduced target prices, highlighting margin pressures and stiff competition from quick-commerce players. Meanwhile, DMart announced that Neville Noronha will step down as MD and CEO in January 2026, with Anshul Asawa, an experienced professional from Unilever, set to join. While long-term growth potential remains, near-term challenges are weighing on investor sentiment.

Why it Matters:

DMart’s weaker margins and rising competition signal challenges for its value-focused model in a competitive retail market. The management transition adds uncertainty, impacting investor confidence. Brokerages lowering price targets highlight concerns about near-term growth and profitability.

Desh Duniya Bazaar

Around the World

Most Asian currencies weakened on Monday as the U.S. dollar gained strength, driven by better-than-expected nonfarm payrolls data, which raised concerns about slower interest rate cuts in 2025. The dollar hit a 24-month high, reflecting expectations of a strong labor market and sticky inflation keeping Federal Reserve rates higher for longer. Regional trading was muted due to a Japanese holiday, but currencies like the yen, yuan, and Indian rupee remained under pressure. Despite positive Chinese trade data, the yuan weakened as traders anticipated more stimulus measures to counteract economic challenges. Other Asian currencies, including the South Korean won and Singapore dollar, saw minor fluctuations, while the Indian rupee steadied after recent record lows. The market is now focused on upcoming U.S. inflation data and Federal Reserve comments for further interest rate cues.

Option Traders Corner

Max Pain

Nifty 50 – 23,550

Bank Nifty – 50,400 

Nifty 50 – 23,457 (Pivot)

Support – 23,318, 23,205, 23,066

Resistance – 23,570, 23,709, 23,822

Bank Nifty – 48,949 (Pivot)

Support – 48,415, 48,097, 47,563

Resistance – 49,267, 49,801, 50,119

Did you know?

2 Million Indian Travelled to USA

The number of Indians who travelled to the United States in the first 11 months of 2024, up 26% from the same period last year.

Have you checked our latest Brand Ad

Newsletter: 10th January 2025

GTPL's Q3 Profit Plunge

Aaj Ka Bazaar

The US markets were closed yesterday to honour ex-president Jimmy Carter. In the Asian markets, the Nikkei opens lower and remains under pressure amidst profit booking after the release of disappointing earnings results the previous day. Hang Seng made a strong start, however the steam fizzled out with the benchmark now trading flat. On the domestic front, GIFT Nifty indicates a flattish start. The key highlight for the day would be the performance of TCS, which would largely drive the direction of its peers during the day.

Markets Around Us

BSE Sensex -77,682.59 (0.08%)

Nifty 50 – 23,551.90 (0.11%)

Bank Nifty – 49,426.50 (-0.16%)

Dow Jones – 42,515.69 (-0.28%)

Nasdaq – 19,478.88 (-0.06%)

FTSE – 8,319.69 (0.83%)

Nikkei 225 – 39,212.64 (-0.99%)

Hang Seng – 19,152.11 (-0.46%)

Sector: TV Broadcasting

GTPL Shares Plunge on Weak Q3

GTPL Hathway shares dropped 9% to ₹133.50 on January 10 after a disappointing Q3 performance. The company reported a 57.2% YoY decline in net profit to ₹10.1 crore, down from ₹23.6 crore last year. Despite a 4.3% increase in revenue to ₹887.2 crore, operational performance weakened, with EBITDA falling 12.6% to ₹105.3 crore and margins dropping to 11.9% from 14.2%. The broadband segment added 37,000 subscribers, reaching 1.04 million, with 75% of homepass ready for fiber conversion. Digital cable TV added 200,000 active subscribers, bringing the total to 9.6 million, and paying subscribers grew to 8.9 million, generating ₹3,024 million in subscription revenue. Broadband ARPU rose slightly to ₹465, with average data usage per subscriber increasing to 365 GB per month. Despite strong pre-earnings momentum, the stock has fallen nearly 12% in three months.

Why it Matters:

GTPL Hathway’s weak Q3 results highlight challenges in maintaining profitability despite growing revenue and subscriber base. The decline in EBITDA and profit margins signals potential operational inefficiencies. For investors, this raises concerns about the company’s ability to sustain growth in a competitive broadband and cable TV market.

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

TCS – 4212.00 (4.29%)

TECHM – 1683.85 (2.50%)

WIPRO – 298.05 (1.97%)

 

NIFTY 50 LOSERS

INDUSINDBK – 960.15 (-2.12%)

SHRIRAMFIN – 552.00 (-1.77%)

HINDALCO– 579.50 (-1.65%)

Sector: Gems & Jewellery

Profit-taking drags Senco Gold lower

Senco Gold shares dropped 3% to ₹1,086 on January 10 as investors booked profits despite a strong Q3 update. The company reported 22% year-on-year revenue growth and achieved record sales of ₹1,000 crore in October and ₹2,000 crore for Q3FY25. Retail demand grew 19%, especially in Tier 3 and Tier 4 towns, supported by reduced customs duties and festive buying during Dhanteras. Old gold contributed 38% of sales, signaling a shift to organized players. Same-store sales grew by 13-14%, and four new showrooms opened in Q3. Senco raised ₹459 crore through a Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP), issuing shares at ₹1,125 each, boosting equity capital. It also launched a subsidiary to focus on premium leather goods, lab-grown diamonds, and perfumes. The company targets 19-20% sales growth for FY25 but has seen its shares drop over 23% in the last three months, underperforming the Nifty 50 index.

Why it Matters:

Senco Gold’s strong sales growth highlights the resilience of gold demand despite high prices, driven by festive buying and a shift to organized markets. The company’s expansion into lifestyle segments and new store openings signal diversification and growth potential. However, the recent stock decline underscores profit-booking and market volatility, which traders should watch closely.

Desh Duniya Bazaar

Around the World

Asian stocks fell on Friday, closing the first trading week of 2025 on a weak note due to concerns over slower U.S. interest rate cuts and a possible rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Japanese stocks dropped as strong wage and spending data fueled expectations of a BOJ rate hike, pressuring export-heavy companies. Chinese stocks slipped amid weak inflation data and fears of harsher U.S. trade policies, following Tencent’s addition to a U.S. blacklist. Broader Asian markets, including Australia and Singapore, were weighed down by risk aversion ahead of key U.S. payroll data, while South Korea faced political uncertainty. Indian markets remained subdued, with attention shifting to upcoming corporate earnings after recent losses driven by declining economic confidence.

Option Traders Corner

Max Pain

Nifty 50 – 23,600

Bank Nifty – 51,000

Nifty 50 – 23,573 (Pivot)

Support – 23,456, 23,386, 23,270

Resistance – 23,642, 23,759, 23,829

Bank Nifty – 49,510 (Pivot)

Support – 49,223, 48,942, 48,655

Resistance – 49,791, 50,078, 50,358

Did you know?

2 Million Indian Travelled to USA

The number of Indians who travelled to the United States in the first 11 months of 2024, up 26% from the same period last year.

 Have you checked our Super 7 Stocks for the Month of January 2025 ? Click Below

Weekly Report: 11th January 2025

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By

Domestic equity benchmarks posted significant losses this week, largely due to weak economic data. Concerns over India’s foreign exchange performance and GDP growth projections pointing to a four-year low further weighed on market sentiment. This lower-than-expected growth is attributed to weak industrial and investment activity. Meanwhile, rising consumer price inflation in China and annual inflation in the Euro area added to global market jitters. Overall, the market ended on a negative note, with investors remaining cautious ahead of key developments.

Week Ahead

The domestic equities are likely to witness volatile trading next week as investors keenly await the release of Q3 earnings from major companies. Following the the earnings season, investor attention is expected to shift towards India’s upcoming Union Budget and the policy decisions of the new Trump administration in the United States. These events are anticipated to have a considerable influence on market trends in the near future. On the domestic front, India’s retail inflation (based on CPI) data for December will release on Monday, 13 January 2025. India’s WPI-based wholesale inflation for December will release on Tuesday, 14 January 2025. India’s balance of trade data for December will release on Wednesday, 15 January 2025.

Technical Overview
  • The benchmark index began the trading week by extending the selling pressure observed in the previous week, thereby establishing a bearish sentiment in the market. The index displayed a downward trend throughout the week, concluding 573 points lower than the prior weekly close. This movement was accompanied by a 10% increase in the VIX, which suggests rising fear and volatility among investors.
  • The week ended with the majority of broader and sectoral indices exhibiting significant downward pressure, alongside deteriorating negative momentum, marking a troubling development for the market.
  • Market breadth remained unfavorable and in an oversold condition. The proportion of stocks trading above shorter-term moving averages has persisted below the median threshold, with potential for further deterioration.
  • The percentage of stocks trading above the 200 and 50 DMA has been below the median for the fourth consecutive week, while those below the 200-daily moving average indicate a pressing concern.
  • On the momentum market breadth front, deteriorating numbers were observed following a slight recovery. Additionally, several associated parameters reached historic lows, reflecting ongoing weakness in general stock participation and indicating that the  markets are exhibiting a significant downswing across all timeframes.
  • From a technical perspective, the zone of 23340-23250 represents a critical support level. The index is currently trading below the 50-week moving average, which is situated near 23650. A decisive reclaiming of the average line will be essential to attract bullish support.
  • Given the prevailing oversold conditions in the market, it is likely that the overall bearish trend will persist; however, a reversal day appears imminent.
  • A gap-down on Monday could set the stage for an immediate technical reversal.
  • The pivotal zone near 24250 is expected to serve as formidable resistance. It is advisable to maintain a cautious stance in the current no-money market conditions, as the swing confidence of the overall market stands at zero, indicating that portfolios should refrain from undertaking any open risks.

To view the detailed report click here to   Download 

Newsletter: 09th January 2025

RBI Decision Drives Gains

Aaj Ka Bazaar

The US headline indices reported little change on Wednesday as they struggled to find a definite momentum after investors priced in the impact of the two conflicting job data (lower jobless claims / slow growth in private sector employment). An element of concern was further added after President-elect Donald Trump’s consideration of declaring a national economic emergency to impose new tariffs. On the Asiatic front, the Nikkei opened lower, weighed down by the selling observed in its tech space, tracking its counterpart’s decline in the US bourses. Despite a weak start, Hang Seng recovered and continued to trade with a positive bias. On the domestic front, we expect the benchmarks to likely be under pressure, extending their losses today as well. As per the cues from GIFT Nifty, the benchmarks are expected to make a negative start, largely due to the pessimistic global sentiments. We also begin with the earnings season from today, with TCS reporting its earnings likely post-market hours. On the stock-specific front, Lupin received the Establishment Inspection Report (EIR) from the US FDA for its Pithampur Unit-1 manufacturing facility that manufactures both APIs and finished products.

Markets Around Us

BSE Sensex -77,909.91 (-0.31%)

Nifty 50 – 23,621.30 (-0.29%)

Bank Nifty – 49,681.75 (-0.31%)

Dow Jones – 42,503.79 (-0.32%)

Nasdaq – 19,457.93 (-0.07%)

FTSE – 8,251.03 (0.07%)

Nikkei 225 – 39,457.76 (-1.30%)

Hang Seng – 19,327.11 (0.24%)

Sector: NBFC

RBI Relief Boosts Manappuram Finance Shares

Manappuram Finance shares rose 6% to ₹191 on January 9 after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) lifted restrictions on its microfinance arm, Asirvad Micro Finance. These restrictions were imposed in October 2024 due to non-compliance with pricing regulations. Asirvad, acquired by Manappuram in 2015, focuses on providing loans to low-income women and contributed 27% of the company’s revenue in FY24. Analysts view the RBI’s move as positive but note that challenges in the microfinance sector may keep disbursements slow in the near term. Jefferies increased its price target to ₹190 but retained a cautious outlook, while Morgan Stanley set a target of ₹175, awaiting clarity on loan policies. While the stock has risen 17% since the October drop, overall movement has been modest in recent months, with analysts suggesting short-term earnings could face pressure due to ongoing issues in the microfinance segment.

Why it Matters:

This matters because lifting the RBI restrictions boosts confidence in Manappuram’s compliance and operations, supporting its stock recovery. The microfinance segment is a key revenue driver, and regulatory clarity can stabilize investor sentiment. However, sector challenges may limit growth in the near term, impacting earnings potential.

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

KOTAKBANK – 1798.00 (1.66%)

BAJAJ-AUTO – 8771.00 (1.49%)

HINDALCO – 593.80 (1.22%)

 

NIFTY 50 LOSERS

LT – 3555.10 (-1.15%)

SBIN – 762.55 (-1.12%)

TRENT– 6632.25 (-1.00%)

Sector: Energy

Advait Energy Rises on Gujrat Lol

Advait Energy’s stock rose 1.5% to ₹1,552 on January 9 after receiving a Letter of Intent (LoI) from Gujarat Urja Vikas Nigam for a 50 MW/500 MWh portion of a 500 MW/1,000 MWh battery energy storage project under a competitive bidding process with funding support, to be completed in 18 months. The company also secured a contract to upgrade power lines in Surendranagar, including the 66KV Dhrangadhra and Viramgam lines, by installing high-capacity conductors. In December 2024, Advait received an order for fiber optic installations along a 400 KV transmission line. The stock is 31% below its 52-week high of ₹2,260 but 88% above its 52-week low of ₹825, reflecting strong momentum driven by new contracts and strategic projects.

Why it Matters:

This matters because Advait Energy’s new contracts, including a major battery storage project and power line upgrades, strengthen its growth prospects and market position. These strategic wins boost investor confidence in its operational capabilities. The stock’s recovery from its 52-week low highlights strong momentum driven by these developments.

Desh Duniya Bazaar

Around the World

Most Asian stocks declined on Thursday as concerns grew over the slower pace of U.S. interest rate cuts this year, coupled with weak inflation data from China pointing to slowing growth. Chinese markets dropped slightly as consumer and producer inflation remained weak despite recent stimulus, while Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.8% due to strong wage data fueling fears of higher inflation and potential rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. The yen strengthened, hurting export stocks. Broader Asian markets, including Australia and Singapore, also slipped on weak retail sales and trade data, though South Korea’s KOSPI gained 0.4% amid political uncertainty. Indian markets faced pressure from weak earnings ahead of a busy earnings season next week. Overall, concerns over inflation, slowing growth, and higher-for-longer interest rates weighed on investor sentiment.

Option Traders Corner

Max Pain

Nifty 50 – 23,800

Bank Nifty – 51,200

Nifty 50 – 23,645 (Pivot)

Support – 23,539, 23,389, 23,283

Resistance – 23,795, 23,901, 24,050

Bank Nifty – 49,823 (Pivot)

Support – 49,400, 48,966, 48,543

Resistance – 50,258, 50,681, 51,115

Did you know?

2 Million Indian Travelled to USA

The number of Indians who travelled to the United States in the first 11 months of 2024, up 26% from the same period last year.

 Have you checked our Super 7 Stocks for the Month of January 2025 ? Click Below

Newsletter: 08th January 2025

GM Breweries' Profit Dip

Aaj Ka Bazaar

The US frontlines tumbled down on Tuesday after data showed resilience in the US economy, indicating that Fed could cut rates fewer times this year against the expectations of the market. The Asian markets also displayed a tepid performance, with Nikkei showcasing a weak performance during the trade led by weak US sentiments, while Hang Seng declined, led by the decline in tech stocks. On the domestic front, Indian markets are likely to open on a negative note, and we have a sense that the benchmarks will likely be under pressure from sellers during the day. After highlighting a mixed performance, with a heavy decline on Monday while making a rebound yesterday, we believe the negative global sentiments will also weigh in. On stock specific note, we remain largely positive on RVNL during the day after it signed an MOU with Dubai-based GBH International for infra projects in the GCC region.

Markets Around Us

BSE Sensex –78,129.17 (-0.09%)

Nifty 50 – 23,698.55 (-0.04%)

Bank Nifty – 50,109.20 (-0.19%)

Dow Jones – 42,527.79 (0.01%)

Nasdaq – 19,487.67 (-1.90%)

FTSE – 8,245.28 (-0.05%)

Nikkei 225 – 39,992.59 (-0.23%)

Hang Seng – 19,139.54 (-1.58%)

Sector: Beverages

GM Breweries Q3 Profit Declines

GM Breweries reported a 3% drop in net profit for the December 2024 quarter, earning Rs 22 crore compared to Rs 22.6 crore in the same period last year. Despite the decline in profit, its revenue from operations increased by 4% to Rs 644 crore, up from Rs 618 crore a year earlier. The company’s total income also rose by 3% to Rs 645.21 crore. However, this performance had little impact on its stock price, which remained flat, trading slightly lower at Rs 794 per share. Established in 1981, GM Breweries specializes in producing and selling alcoholic beverages, including country liquor (CL) and Indian-made foreign liquor (IMFL).

Why it Matters:

GM Breweries’ Q3 results highlight stable revenue growth despite a slight dip in profit, reflecting strong demand for its products. The performance of its stock post-results indicates market neutrality. As a key player in the liquor industry, its financial trends are relevant for tracking consumer and sector health.

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

DRREDDY – 1399.70 (3.56%)

ONGC – 269.00 (2.09%)

RELIANCE – 1255.40 (1.17%)

 

NIFTY 50 LOSERS

TRENT – 6610.20 (-3.84%)

SHRIRAMFIN – 2883.00 (-2.55%)

ADANIPORTS– 1152.35 (-1.84%)

Sector: Fintech

MobiKwik Shares Surge on Reduced Losses

MobiKwik’s stock surged nearly 14% on January 7 after the company reported a reduced net loss of Rs 3.6 crore for Q2 FY25, compared to Rs 6.6 crore in Q1. The loss was attributed to increased investments for future growth. Despite this, revenue rose 43%, which improved investor sentiment and boosted the stock to an intraday high of Rs 637.80 on the NSE. MobiKwik shares were listed in December 2024 at a 60% premium following strong demand during its IPO. The stock debuted at Rs 440 on the NSE and Rs 442.25 on the BSE, significantly higher than its issue price of Rs 279, giving the company a market valuation of Rs 3,890.14 crore.

Why it Matters:

MobiKwik’s narrowing losses signal improved financial management and growth potential, boosting investor confidence. The stock’s strong performance reflects optimism about its future profitability and expansion plans. With a 43% revenue jump, the company is positioned as a key player in the growing fintech sector.

Desh Duniya Bazaar

Around the World

Asian markets showed mixed results on Wednesday, with Chinese stocks dropping as the U.S. blacklisted major firms like Tencent and CATL, further straining U.S.-China relations. Japanese markets fell after officials warned of potential currency market intervention, which could affect exporters due to the yen’s recent weakness. Meanwhile, South Korea’s KOSPI rose 1.1%, boosted by Samsung’s 2.7% gain despite weak earnings. Australia’s ASX 200 rose 0.6%, with inflation data fueling expectations of early rate cuts. Singapore’s Straits Times index gained 0.4%, while Indian markets were set for a positive open ahead of key earnings reports. Wall Street futures edged higher after Tuesday’s tech-led losses. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell nearly 0.9%, pressured by BYD’s 2% drop after labor law violation fines in Brazil. Uncertainty around U.S. interest rates and President Trump’s trade policies continued to weigh on sentiment, keeping markets cautious as 2025 unfolds.

Option Traders Corner

Max Pain

Nifty 50 – 23,900

Bank Nifty – 51,500

Nifty 50 – 23,713 (Pivot)

Support – 23,632, 23,556, 23,474

Resistance – 23,789, 23,871, 23,946

Bank Nifty – 50,206 (Pivot)

Support – 49,965, 49,728, 49,486

Resistance – 50,443, 50,684, 50,921

Did you know?

2 Million Indian Travelled to USA

The number of Indians who travelled to the United States in the first 11 months of 2024, up 26% from the same period last year.

Have you checked our Top Stocks for 2025 ? Click below

Newsletter: 07th January 2025

Record Growth for Kalyan

Aaj Ka Bazaar

The US market rose broadly overnight, the dollar dropped, and yields on long-term Treasury securities increased as Foxconn reported record fourth-quarter revenue. President-elect Donald Trump called reports about him considering scaling back his tariff plans “fake news.” The Asian market was mainly higher this morning after a rally in technology shares boosted Wall Street’s main indexes overnight. Oil steadied after its first drop in six sessions, while gold ticked higher as investors awaited more US economic data this week for additional clues on the Fed’s rate trajectory. Indian markets are expected to remain under selling pressure on Tuesday despite positive global cues led by the decline to high valuations, weak business updates from banks and FMCG firms, and concerns over the spread of human metapneumovirus (HMPV). Tightening liquidity, slowing deposit growth, and foreign portfolio investor (FPI) outflows have further dampened sentiment.

Markets Around Us

BSE Sensex –78,019.80 (0.07%)

Nifty 50 – 23,679.90 (0.27%)

Bank Nifty – 50,061.20 (0.28%)

Dow Jones – 42,630.97 (-0.25%)

Nasdaq – 19,867.81 (1.25%)

FTSE – 8,249.66 (0.31%)

Nikkei 225 – 40,109.18 (2.04%)

Hang Seng – 19,335.49 (-1.82%)

Sector: Jewellery

Kalyan Jewellers Thrives on Festive Demand

Kalyan Jewellers reported a strong 39% growth in consolidated revenue for the December quarter, driven by robust festive and wedding demand. Its India operations saw a 41% increase, with notable demand in both gold and studded jewelry. Same-store sales grew by 24%, and the company opened 24 new showrooms in India, with more planned for the coming quarter. Looking ahead to FY26, Kalyan plans to launch 170 showrooms, including 75 in non-south India, 15 in south India and international markets, and 80 under its Candere brand. The company also expanded internationally by opening its first showroom in the U.S. Revenue from the Middle East rose 22%, contributing 11% of total revenue, while Candere, its digital-first platform, grew by 89% and added 23 showrooms. Over the past year, Kalyan Jewellers’ shares have surged by more than 108%, reflecting strong investor confidence in its growth strategy.

Why it Matters:

Kalyan Jewellers’ strong performance highlights the significant demand in the festive and wedding sectors, indicating a robust growth opportunity for the company. Its strategic showroom expansions and digital growth are key drivers for long-term success. This solid financial performance, combined with a share price surge, makes it an attractive option for investors.

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

APOLLOHOSP – 7440.00 (1.94%)

TATACONSUM – 950.00 (1.12%)

TITAN – 3476.50 (0.72%)

 

NIFTY 50 LOSERS

TATASTEEL – 132.00 (-4.60%)

TRENT – 6989.95 (-4.35%)

BPCL – 285.50 (-3.68%)

Sector: Real Estate

Ashoka Buildcon Surges on NHAI Deal

Ashoka Buildcon shares rose over 4% to ₹290 after its subsidiary signed a deal with NHAI for a ₹1,391 crore project in West Bengal. The project involves building a four-lane road on NH 116A under the hybrid annuity model and will take 910 days to complete. Recently, the company also secured a ₹1,055 crore contract with Bangalore International Airport for constructing taxiways and other infrastructure, set to finish in 24 months. Ashoka Buildcon reported a massive 334% rise in Q2 net profit to ₹462.5 crore, with revenue up 15.5% and EBITDA margins improving significantly to 36.4%. The stock has rallied over 25% in the past three months, outperforming the Nifty 50 index, and hit a 52-week high of ₹319 on December 31, 2024. This strong performance reflects the company’s robust order book and operational efficiency, making it a key player in infrastructure development.

Why it Matters:

Ashoka Buildcon’s strong project wins, including a ₹1,391 crore NHAI deal and a ₹1,055 crore airport contract, highlight its growing presence in infrastructure development. Its robust financial performance, with a 334% profit rise in Q2, showcases operational strength. The stock’s outperformance signals investor confidence in its growth trajectory.

Desh Duniya Bazaar

Around the World

Asian stock markets saw gains on Tuesday, driven by a rebound in technology shares following strong performance on Wall Street. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.4%, and South Korea’s KOSPI rose 0.9%, supported by optimism around artificial intelligence, particularly NVIDIA’s anticipated announcements at a major tech event. Meanwhile, Chinese markets underperformed, with the Hang Seng index falling 0.5% as Tencent and CATL dropped over 5% after being added to a U.S. blacklist, raising concerns over trade tensions between the U.S. and China. Broader Asian markets showed modest gains, with Australia’s ASX 200 up 0.2% and Singapore’s Straits Times Index rising 0.1%. In India, Nifty 50 futures indicated a slight recovery after a sharp 1.6% drop on Monday due to weak earnings from major firms like HDFC Bank and Dabur. Despite Tuesday’s gains, regional markets remained cautious about prolonged U.S. interest rate hikes and ongoing trade uncertainties.

Option Traders Corner

Max Pain

Nifty 50 – 23,755

Bank Nifty – 50,181

Nifty 50 – 23,752 (Pivot)

Support – 23,415, 23,214, 22,877

Resistance – 23,953, 24,290, 24,491

Bank Nifty – 50,233 (Pivot)

Support – 49,439, 48,957, 48,164

Resistance – 50,715, 51,508, 51,990

Did you know?

2 Million Indian Travelled to USA

The number of Indians who travelled to the United States in the first 11 months of 2024, up 26% from the same period last year.

Have you checked our Top Stocks for 2025 ? Click below

Weekly Report: 04th January 2025

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By

The market saw moderate gains during the New Year week, despite weaker domestic economic indicators. Indices ended lower on three out of five trading days, although broader markets outperformed the frontline indices. Meanwhile, the country’s gold reserves declined by  $2.33 billion to $65.726 billion during the week. India’s fiscal deficit reached ₹8.5 lakh crore in the first eight months of the fiscal year (April-November), accounting for 52.5% of the budgeted target. On the global front, China’s manufacturing PMI and Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI both fell in December. Japan’s factory activity contracted, whereas the Au Jibun Bank Japan Manufacturing PMI saw a slight rise.

Week Ahead

The stock market is expected to remain volatile next week as investors await the release of Q3 earnings results. This uncertainty has led some investors to pull back on their purchases, creating a cautious market sentiment. After the earnings season, attention is likely to shift toward the upcoming Union Budget and the policy decisions under the Trump 2.0 administration. On the domestic front, India’s HSBC Composite and Services PMI will be released on January 6, the preliminary Fiscal Year GDP Growth data for 2025 on January 7, and November industrial production data on January 10. Globally, the US ISM Services PMI and Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey will be released on January 7, while non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate data are set for release on January 10.

Technical Overview
  • The benchmark index concluded the calendar year on a slightly lower trajectory; however, it commenced the new calendar year of 2025 with a robust performance, resulting in a weekly increase of 191 points on relatively elevated trading volume. The VIX experienced a 2.3% rise, reaching levels of 13.54 during the week.
  • The week concluded with most broader and sectoral indices demonstrating an improvement in their price trends, while negative momentum continued to improve for the second consecutive week, with the exception of the real estate sector—representing an  additional positive development.
  • In terms of market breadth, there was notable enhancement observed throughout the week, particularly within the intermediate trends. The percentage of stocks trading above 10 and 20 DMA has surpassed the median threshold, coupled with a positive crossover between the two average lines, suggestive of a short-term bullish swing.
  • The percentage of stocks trading above 200 DMA has also managed to exceed the median mark; however, the proportion of stocks trading above 50 DMA remains below the median level for the third consecutive occasion, indicating that the prevailing downtrend is not yet over on a higher timeframe.
  • On the momentum market breadth front, significant recovery has been observed since midweek; nevertheless, the markets did not provide the anticipated follow-through afterwards. Therefore, it is imperative for bullish participants to establish their presence in the forthcoming days with a pronounced upward movement; failure to achieve this could lead to a potential weakening of the ongoing rally.
  • From a technical perspective, the index is currently situated at a critical juncture. The level at 50DMA, in conjunction with the prior gap area and the weekly shorter-term moving average, indicates that the region between 24350-24220 is projected to serve as an immediate resistance zone. A decisive reclamation of this zone would enable the index to gather additional bullish momentum. Conversely, with the 50 Weekly Moving Average positioned near 23600, the range between 23900 and 23600 constitutes a vital  support zone; a violation of the lower boundary on a closing basis would invite further selling pressure.
  • We remain in a hard-money market environment, with the swing confidence of the overall market currently at zero; however, it is anticipated that this may improve, contingent upon a strong follow-through. Consequently, it is advisable to adopt a prudent approach to swing trading, and to implement a strict risk management strategy, which should not be overlooked.

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Newsletter: 06th January 2025

Titan Shines in Q3

Aaj Ka Bazaar

US equity markets rebounded on Friday as the truncated week ended, with hopes of additional Fed rate cuts and easing regulatory policies from the upcoming administration. However, despite the rally, the three major indices registered modest weekly declines. On the Asian front, Nikkei made a tepid debut into the week, posting a decline in its indices led by the auto and steel sector. Meanwhile, Hang Seng continues to trade flat after indicating volatility in its early hours. The Indian benchmarks are expected to make a modest start into the week, as per the cue from GIFT Nifty. The stock in focus during today’s trading session would be HDFC Bank, followed by the robust Q3 business updates. 

Markets Around Us

BSE Sensex –79,506.28 (0.36%)

Nifty 50 – 24,077.45 (0.30%)

Bank Nifty – 50,913.70 (-0.15%)

Dow Jones – 42,623.56 (-0.25%)

Nasdaq – 19,619.17 (1.75%)

FTSE – 8,223.98 (-0.44%)

Nikkei 225 – 39,282.45 (-1.51%)

Hang Seng – 19,271.05 (-0.27%)

Sector: Gems, Jewellery & Watches

Titan Shines with Robust Q3 Growth

Titan Company shares rose over 2% in morning trade, becoming the top gainer on the Nifty 50 index after reporting a 24% year-on-year (YoY) growth for Q3 FY25. The Jewellery segment led with a 25% YoY growth, driven by strong festive demand, higher gold prices, and wedding purchases. Titan expanded its retail network by adding 69 stores in Q3, reaching 3,240 outlets, including international stores in Seattle and Dubai. Gold coin sales jumped 48%, while studded jewelry grew 21%. Watches & Wearables saw mixed results, with analog watches growing 19% due to premium demand, but wearables declined 20% amid market challenges. The EyeCare segment grew 17% despite closing three stores. CaratLane grew 25%, adding 19 stores in India and its first outlet in New Jersey. Emerging businesses performed unevenly, with Fragrances up 27% and Fashion Accessories down 20%. Titan’s festive strength highlights its leading position across segments.

Why it Matters:

Titan’s strong Q3 growth reflects robust consumer demand during the festive and wedding seasons, boosting investor confidence in its market leadership. The expansion of its retail network, including international outlets, shows its focus on global growth. Mixed performance across segments highlights both opportunities and challenges in capturing diverse market trends.

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

BAJFINANCE – 7548.60 (1.91%)

TITAN – 3504.95 (1.54%)

BAJAJAUTO – 9090.00 (1.39%)

 

NIFTY 50 LOSERS

KOTAKBANK – 1812.00 (-1.45%)

INDUSINDBK – 986.50 (-1.14%)

BPCL – 293.35 (-1.03%)

Sector: NBFC

Bajaj Twins Lead Nifty on Growth

Shares of Bajaj Finance and Bajaj Finserv rose up to 2.5% on January 6 after Bajaj Finance reported a strong Q3 FY25 business update. Its assets under management (AUM) grew 28% year-on-year (YoY) to ₹3.98 lakh crore, while its deposit book increased 19% to ₹68,800 crore. The company also achieved its highest-ever quarterly new loan bookings at 12.06 million, up 22% from last year, and added 5.03 million new customers, expanding its base to 97.12 million. Brokerages responded positively: BofA and Citi reiterated “buy” ratings with target prices of ₹8,800 and ₹8,150, respectively, citing strong growth in loans and proactive risk management. JPMorgan maintained an “overweight” rating with a target of ₹7,300, forecasting 29% annual AUM growth over three years. Despite challenges in the broader market, Bajaj Finance’s solid performance and market leadership boosted investor confidence, with its shares gaining 10% over the past month.

Why it Matters:

Bajaj Finance’s strong Q3 performance highlights robust growth in assets, loans, and customer acquisition, reinforcing its leadership among financial stocks. Positive ratings from major brokerages indicate confidence in its future growth and risk management. This positions the company as a resilient performer despite broader market challenges.

Desh Duniya Bazaar

Around the World

Asian stocks started 2025 on a weak note, with most markets trading flat-to-lower on Monday as investors grew cautious ahead of key economic data this week. Concerns over slower U.S. interest rate cuts following hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve weighed on sentiment. Japan’s Nikkei 225 and TOPIX indexes dropped 1.3% and 0.9%, respectively, in catch-up trade after the holidays, with auto stocks leading losses. Nippon Steel fell over 2% after a U.S. Steel acquisition was blocked by President Biden. Chinese markets remained steady, with focus on inflation data amid expectations of more government stimulus in 2025 to address deflation and a property slump. South Korea’s KOSPI surged 1.6% as investors saw buying opportunities after political turmoil last month. Taiwan’s Foxconn gained 2% on record Q4 revenues driven by AI demand, while India’s Nifty 50 futures hinted at a modest recovery after last week’s losses.

Option Traders Corner

Max Pain

Nifty 50 – 24,000

Bank Nifty – 51,700

Nifty 50 – 24,059 (Pivot)

Support – 23,921, 23,838, 23,701

Resistance – 24,142, 24,279, 24,362

Bank Nifty – 51,188 (Pivot)

Support – 50,704, 50,421, 49,937

Resistance – 51,472, 51,955, 52,239

Did you know?

2 Million Indian Travelled to USA

The number of Indians who travelled to the United States in the first 11 months of 2024, up 26% from the same period last year.

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Newsletter: 03 rd January 2025

DMart Revenue Boosts Shares

Aaj Ka Bazaar

The US market varied before ending lower overnight, and the dollar hit a two-year high after data showed that weekly jobless claims unexpectedly dropped to an eight-month low, reigniting worries about high interest rates. The Asian market mainly was higher this morning, with Japanese markets closed for a holiday. Regional gains were driven by optimism surrounding potential interest rate cuts in China and positive news from South Korea’s tech sector. The People’s Bank of China plans to cut interest rates at an appropriate time this year, the Financial Times reported, citing comments from the central bank. Oil extended gains after settling up by more than $1 a barrel on Thursday on optimism around China’s economy and fuel demand after a pledge by President Xi Jinping to promote growth. Indian market may drift lower at open on Friday after US stocks fell for a fifth day running overnight, underscoring a cautious start to the year. However, strong buying was seen in heavyweights, especially auto, NBFCs, and IT stocks, driven by optimism about upcoming quarterly earnings.

Markets Around Us

BSE Sensex –79,445.47 (-0.62%)

Nifty 50 – 24,151.55 (-0.15%)

Bank Nifty – 51,517.40 (-0.17%)

Dow Jones – 42,416.67 (0.05%)

Nasdaq – 19,271.14 (-0.21%)

FTSE – 8,260.09 (1.05%)

Nikkei 225 – 39,894.54 (0.00%)

Hang Seng – 19,823.33 (1.02%)

Sector: Retail

Avenue Supermarts Share Jump 10%

Avenue Supermarts Ltd., which operates the DMart chain, saw its shares rise by 10% on January 3 after releasing its business update for the October-December period of FY2024-25. The company reported a 17.5% increase in revenue, reaching Rs 15,565 crore, compared to the same period last year. As of December 31, DMart had 387 stores. Despite the positive growth, some international brokerages like Macquarie and Morgan Stanley remain cautious about the stock, citing concerns over weaker-than-expected growth compared to historical trends and competition from quick commerce. Morgan Stanley did note that DMart’s Q3 revenue was slightly better than expected, driven by store growth and a 5.5% increase in same-store sales. On the other hand, CLSA is optimistic about DMart, maintaining a strong buy rating and a target price of Rs 5,360 per share, highlighting the company’s strong revenue performance and potential in private labels.

Why it Matters:

Avenue Supermarts’ 10% share surge reflects strong revenue growth, signaling business resilience. Brokerages have mixed views, with some cautious on competition and growth, while others remain optimistic about its potential. This highlights market uncertainty and varying investor confidence in DMart’s future performance.

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

ONGC – 252.31 (2.54%)

HCLTECH – 1990.80 (0.94%)

SBILIFE – 1434.05 (0.83%)

 

NIFTY 50 LOSERS

HEROMOTOCO – 4199.10 (-2.61%)

HINDALCO – 595.40 (-0.60%)

INFY – 1947.20 (-0.54%)

Sector: Beverages

Varun Beverages Invests Rs 412 Crore in Bevco

Varun Beverages (VBL) has invested Rs 412.8 crore in its South African subsidiary, The Beverage Company (Bevco), by purchasing shares. This investment will help Bevco repay its current debts and strengthen its financial position for future growth. Bevco manufactures and distributes PepsiCo-branded and its own non-alcoholic drinks in South Africa, and also holds PepsiCo franchise rights in Lesotho and Eswatini. VBL, a major bottling partner for PepsiCo, raised funds to support its subsidiaries and business growth. This move follows VBL’s expansion into Africa, with recent acquisitions of two African beverage companies. The company is focusing on growth opportunities in Africa, which it sees as a key market for the next 20 years. Varun Beverages has shown consistent positive returns since its listing, with its stock delivering a 30% return in 2024, and is considered one of Axis Securities’ top picks for 2025.

Why it Matters:

Varun Beverages’ investment strengthens its South African subsidiary, boosting growth and debt repayment. The company is expanding its footprint in Africa, a key growth market. This move signals confidence in VBL’s long-term strategy and enhances its global presence.

Desh Duniya Bazaar

Around the World

Most Asian stock markets were up on Friday, driven by strong gains in South Korean shares, while Chinese stocks recovered from early losses due to expectations of new stimulus measures. Japan’s markets were closed for the holidays, leading to lower trading volumes. South Korea’s KOSPI index rose nearly 2%, ending a five-day losing streak, after the government announced policies to attract foreign investment and boost domestic demand amid political and economic challenges. These efforts came as South Korea faces political instability, including the impeachment of President Yoon Suk Yeol. Other regional markets, like the Philippines, Singapore, and Australia, also saw gains, encouraged by South Korea’s recovery. In China, stocks were mixed, but hopes of additional stimulus from the government supported the market. The People’s Bank of China hinted at interest rate cuts in 2025 to further stimulate the economy, following weaker-than-expected manufacturing data for December.

Option Traders Corner

 Max Pain

Nifty 50 – 24,100

Bank Nifty – 52,000

Nifty 50 – 24,055 (Pivot)

Support – 23,884, 23,580, 23,409

Resistance – 24,359, 24,530, 24,834

Bank Nifty – 51,423 (Pivot)

Support – 51,174, 50,743, 50,494

Resistance – 51,854, 52,103, 52,534

Did you know?

CSB Bank's Gold Loan Business Sees 36% Growth

CSB Bank’s gold loan portfolio surged to ₹13,018 crore in Q3FY24, reflecting a robust 36.28% increase compared to ₹9,553 crore in the same quarter last year. This growth highlights the bank’s strong performance in the gold loan segment, driven by increased demand for secured lending. The growth trajectory is a positive sign of the bank’s expanding footprint in the lending market, particularly in the context of rising interest in gold-backed financing options.

Have you checked our Top Stocks for 2025 ? Click below

Newsletter: 02nd January 2025

RailTel Wins Big orders

Aaj Ka Bazaar

Wall Street remained closed on Wednesday on account of New Year’s Day, and investors are expected to adopt a cautious approach as markets reopen. Most Asian markets were trading lower, with China’s CSI 300 down by 0.74%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index declining by 1.78%, and Japan’s Nikkei dropping by 0.96%. The Indian market is anticipated to open on a muted note and may trend lower later in the day, as suggested by the flat trading of GIFT Nifty. On stock-specific news, RailTel Corporation of India Ltd, a telecom infrastructure provider, secured a ₹78.43-crore order from Bharat Coking Coal Ltd on Wednesday. The order involves implementing an integrated IT-based security infrastructure along with related services.

Markets Around Us

BSE Sensex -78,705.37 (0.25%)

Nifty 50 – 23,798.25 (0.23%)

Bank Nifty – 51,138.20 (0.15%)

Dow Jones – 42,613.88 (0.17%)

Nasdaq – 19,305.25 (-0.93%)

FTSE – 8,173.02 (0.00%)

Nikkei 225 – 39,894.54 (0.00%)

Hang Seng – 20,059.95 (0.00%)

Sector: Telecom

RailTel Wins ₹78 Crore Deal

RailTel Corporation’s shares rose 2.58% to ₹415.40 in early trade on January 2 after securing a ₹78.43 crore order from Bharat Coking Coal. The project involves implementing IT-based security infrastructure and related services, with completion targeted by August 28, 2025. Recently, RailTel also bagged contracts worth ₹37.99 crore from Central Warehousing Corporation and ₹24.5 crore from Haryana State Electronics Development Corporation for maintenance services. The stock, which hit a 52-week high of ₹618 in July 2024 and a low of ₹301.35 in March 2024, is currently 32.78% below its peak but 37.85% above its yearly low.

Why it Matters:

RailTel Corporation’s recent ₹78.43 crore order from Bharat Coking Coal enhances its project portfolio, ensuring revenue flow until August 2025. This follows other significant contracts in December, showcasing its expanding role in IT-based security and maintenance services. The stock’s early 2% rise reflects investor optimism, even as it trades below its 52-week high, indicating market confidence in the company’s growth trajectory.

 NIFTY 50 GAINERS

BAJFINANCE – 7100.00 (2.37%)

KOTAKBANK – 1821.25 (1.84%)

BAJAJFINSV – 1595.40 (1.21%)

 

NIFTY 50 LOSERS

WIPRO – 297.85 (-0.82%)

HEROMOTOCO – 4154.35 (-0.72%)

NTPC – 332.00 (-0.49%)

Sector: Utility Vehicles

Maruti Suzuki sales surge 30%

Maruti Suzuki’s shares rose over 3% on January 1 after the company reported a 30% increase in December car sales, totaling 1,78,248 units compared to 1,37,551 units in the same period last year. Domestic sales, including light commercial vehicles and supplies to Toyota Kirloskar Motor, grew 24.44% to 1,32,523 units. The company also achieved its highest-ever monthly exports at 37,419 units, marking a significant growth from 26,884 units a year ago. Sales of mini cars like Alto and S-Presso surged, while compact models such as Baleno, Swift, and WagonR also saw notable increases. Utility vehicle sales, including models like Brezza and Grand Vitara, rose by over 20%, highlighting strong demand across segments. However, sales of the mid-sized sedan Ciaz declined slightly. This robust performance underlines Maruti Suzuki’s growth momentum and its dominance in the domestic and export markets.

Why it Matters:

Maruti Suzuki’s strong December sales growth reflects robust consumer demand and market leadership across segments. The record exports and increased domestic sales highlight the company’s resilience and strategic positioning. This performance signals potential growth opportunities for investors in India’s automotive sector.

Desh Duniya Bazaar

Around the World

Asian currencies traded mostly flat or weaker on Thursday, influenced by concerns over slower U.S. rate cuts in 2025, which boosted the dollar. The Chinese yuan dropped 0.3% to its lowest level in over a year as disappointing manufacturing PMI data raised worries about China’s slowing recovery despite recent stimulus. Regional trading remained muted due to New Year holidays, with major markets like Japan closed. The dollar stayed strong, driven by expectations of cautious Federal Reserve policies and potential protectionist moves by the U.S. under President Trump. The Japanese yen struggled after a dovish 2025 outlook from the Bank of Japan, while the South Korean won, a weak performer in 2024, saw slight recovery despite ongoing political turmoil. Meanwhile, the Singapore dollar rose 0.2% on better-than-expected GDP growth, and the Australian dollar recovered 0.5% from lows. The Indian rupee fell 0.3% after hitting a record low of 86 per dollar.

Option Traders Corner

Max Pain

Nifty 50 – 23,800

Bank Nifty – 51,900

Nifty 50 – 23,709 (Pivot)

Support – 23,596, 23,449, 23,326

Resistance – 23,856, 23,969, 24,116

Bank Nifty – 50,955 (Pivot)

Support – 50,589, 50,118, 49,752

Resistance – 51,426, 51,792, 52,263

Did you know?

Indian Digital Milestone Achieved

India has generated over 138 crore Aadhaar numbers, transforming digital identity verification. DigiLocker now serves 37 crore users, securely storing 776 crore documents. The DIKSHA platform has facilitated 556 crore learning sessions and achieved nearly 18 crore course enrollments. 

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