Weekly Report: 10th Dec 22

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 09 December 2022, the Sensex declined 686.83 points or 1.09% to settle at 62,181.67. The Nifty 50 index declined 199.5 points or 1.07% to settle at 18,496.60.
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index shed 0.86% to settle at 26,095.56
  • The BSE Small-Cap index fell 1.18% to settle at 29,558.56
Week Ahead
  • US will announce inflation rate for November on 13 December 2022
  • China will announce the industrial production data for November on 15 December 2022
  • US Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision after its two day policy meeting on 15 December 2022
Technical Overview
The 50 index opened on a volatile note for the week and continued to wane its gain from the life highs at 18887, however on relatively moderate volumes. The index saw a sharp sell-off on Friday and the move was arrested at 20 DEMA ending the week with 200 points in red. On the higher timeframe, the index traded largely within previous week’s trading range and found support at 5WEMA. The index is following a 11 a week cycle and is currently trading in the later half indicating at brief consolidation in the week to come. The support for the week comes near 18350 – 18250 – 18100 whereas resistance is near 18700 – 18800 – 18900.

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Weekly Report: 17th Dec 22

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 16 December 2022, the Sensex tumbled 843.86 points or 1.36% to settle at 61,337.81 .The Nifty 50 index declined 227.6 points or 1.23% to settle at 18,269.00
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index slipped 1.37% to settle at 25,739.21
  • The BSE Small-Cap index slipped 0.14% to settle at 29,516.75
Week Ahead
  • The Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision on 20 December 2022
  • Japan will announce inflation rate for November on 23 December 2022
  • The United States Durable Goods Orders for November will be declared on 23 December 2022
Technical Overview
Nifty opened the week on the negative note but quickly in the fast half recovered strongly, however in the second half index witnessed profit taking at higher levels erasing its early gains to end the week around the weekly low with the loss of 0.79%. On the daily chart, index has witnessed breakdown from Head and Shoulder price pattern denoting caution at on going trend for short term. RSI has surpassed beneath rising trendline highlighting price losing momentum. Going ahead index has an intermediate support at 18180-17980-17800.Whereas on the flip side resistance is placed around 18400-18530-18750.

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Weekly Report: 24th Dec 22

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 23 December 2022, the Sensex tumbled 1,492.52 points or 2.43% to settle at 59,845.29 .The Nifty 50 index declined 462.20 points or 2.53% to settle at 17,806.80
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index slipped 5.10% to settle at 24,426.79
  • The BSE Small-Cap index slipped 7.67% to settle at 27,252.68
Week Ahead
  • India’s Infrastructure output data for November will be unveiled on 30 December 2022
  • China will announce Industrials Profit data for November on 27 December 2022
  • China will announce the NBS Non Manufacturing PMI for December on 31 December 2022
Technical Overview
The 50 index opened on a subdued note and barring Monday, the index kept closing lower throughout the week on increasing volume and cracked below the key DEMAs of 50 and 100, and 20 WEMA, however on declining implied volatility. It added 3 distribution days in the week gone by, taking the count to 6. On the daily timeframe, the MACD has slipped into the negative territory and RSI has declined to near the oversold zone and the uptrend now remains under pressure. It has immediate support near 17790 off a previous gap-up opening and 200 DEMA trailing near 17420 levels while resistance comes near 18050 – 18170 – 18300.

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Weekly Report: 2nd Jan 23

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week that ended on Friday, 30 December 2022, the Sensex spurted 2,586.92 points or 4.44% to settle at 60,840.74.The Nifty 50 index advanced 751.25 points or 4.33% to settle at 18,105.30
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 1.38% to settle at 25,314.50
  • The BSE Small-Cap index shed 1.80% to settle at 28,926.79
Week Ahead
  • Indian Auto stocks will be in focus as auto companies will start announcing monthly sales numbers for December starting from 1 Jan 2023
  • On the Macro front, US will announce Manufacturing PMI data for December on 4 January 2023
  • US will announce ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and Non-Farms payroll data for December on 6 January 2023
Technical Overview
The index opened the week on a positive note and remained strong throughout the week barring the last day, index closed the week with a gain of 1.68%. Nifty rebounded taking support at 20 WEMA, Polarity support and 50% retracement of its prior advance. Thus going ahead index has key support around 17800, failure to hold this support shall encourage a further decline towards 17620-17450. While on the flip side resistance comes at 18230-18400-18600.

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Weekly Report: 9th Jan 23

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 06 January 2023, the Sensex lost 940.37 points or 1.55% to settle at 59,900.37.The Nifty 50 index declined 245.85 points or 1.36% to settle at 17,859.45
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index fell by 0.58% to settle at 25,166.71
  • The BSE Small-Cap index slipped 0.50% to settle at 28,783.56
Week Ahead
  • Q3FY23 Results will be in focus with Tata Consultancy Services announcing its results on 9 January 2023
  • US will announce inflation rate for December on 12 January 2023
  • China will announce inflation rate for December on 12 January 2023
Technical Overview
The 50 index opened on a subdued note at the pivotal support of 18100, however with negative slopping 20 DEMA acting as overhead resistance the selling pressure intensified and it plummeted over 380 points from the weekly top. The index managed to sustain above the 17800 mark on declining implied volatility and formed a series of inside bars that indicates volatility compression. The zone of 17900-17800 holds multiple conjunctions of supports like multiple EMAs across timeframes, the previous gap zone, and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement on the daily timeframe and as far as the index manages to sustain above the said zone, it will remain in the attempt rally.

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Weekly Report: 06th Feb 23

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 03 February 2023, the Sensex gained 1,510.98 points or 2.55% to settle at 60,841.88.The Nifty 50 index advanced 249.70 points or 1.42% to settle at 17,854.05
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 0.45% to settle at 24,448.01
  • The BSE Small-Cap index rose 0.86% to settle at 27,862.68
Week Ahead
  • Q3FY23 Results will continue to remain in focus for the week
  • The next RBI policy review is scheduled during 6 to 8 January 2023
  • China will announce the inflation rate for January 2023 on 10 February 2023
Technical Overview
Nifty remained highly volatile amidst a turbulent week trading in a 618 points range on relatively higher volumes throughout the week. The index opened saw a jittery start to the week ahead of the Union Budget while it strained out on the event day also owing to a bearish reaction on the Adani Group stocks. However, the support of 100 DEMA, 50 WEMA, pivot, and 38.2% retracement level bolstered a technical pullback which led to incremental gains in the last 2 trading sessions allowing the index to close the week in green and reclaim the 20 WEMA. The VIX cooled off by ~17% and IV by 34% indicating lesser unruly moves like that in the previous week. It will be crucial for the index to sustain above 17430 levels to attract bullish momentum going forward.

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Weekly Report: 13th Feb 23

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 10 February 2023, the Sensex fell 159.18 points or 0.26% to settle at 60,682.70. The Nifty 50 index rose 2.45 points or 0.01% to settle at 17,856.50.
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 1.78% to settle at 24,890.44.
  • The BSE Small-Cap index rose 1.42% to settle at 28,263.05.
Week Ahead
  • On the Macro front, Wholesale Price Index (WPI) inflation for January is due on 14th February 2023. Inflation rate for January will be declared on the same day.
  • US will announce Retail Sales data for January on 15th February 2023.
  • US will announce Inflation rate for January on 14th February 2023.
Technical Overview
The 50 index has phased through 2 eventful weeks comprising of the Union Budget, Fed Rate Hike and the monetary policy announcement on decremented volatility. The pattern analysis shows that the index dithers in a broad range consolidation between 20 and 50 WEMA showing no directional bias. The VIX cooled off 11.5% to 12.74 levels which is near to the lowest level seen in recent times and so the markets need to be approached on a cautious note. The index will have to reclaim the pivotal resistance zone in between 18100 to 18270 to gain further traction.

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Weekly Report: 20th Feb 23

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week that ended on Friday, 17 February 2023, the Sensex rose 319.87 points or 0.53% to settle at 60,002.57. The Nifty 50 index added 87.70 points or 0.49% to settle at 17,944.20.
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index fell 0.82% to settle at 24,685.27.
  • The BSE Small-Cap declined 0.77% to settle at 28,046.40.
Week Ahead
  • China will announce Loan Prime Rate for 1 year and 5 years on 20th February 2023.
  • Japan will announce the Inflation rate for January 2023 on 24 February 2023.
  • Japan will announce the Inflation rate for January 2023 on 24 February 2023.
Technical Overview
The pattern analysis on the 50 index shows that it witnessed a failed breakout from a tight consolidation range defined on the budget announcement trading day in the week gone by. Currently, the index has seen multiple resistance points on the daily and weekly chart that are in close proximity and has seen multiple rejections from the levels near 18100 making it a crucial resistance to surpass to attract further bullish momentum. The low level of VIX is a cause of concern and a continuation of this trend can be harmful to the markets. All in all the index is anticipated to continue its pullback direction on crossing above 18100 levels with some spike in volatility.
 

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Weekly Report: 27th Feb 23

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 24 February 2023, the Sensex tumbled 1,538.64 points or 2.52% to settle at 59,463.93. The Nifty 50 index slumped 478.40 points or 2.67% to settle at 17,465.80.
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index fell 2.05% to settle at 24,178.73.
  • The BSE Small-Cap declined 1.65% to settle at 27,584.59.
Week Ahead
  • The government will announce Q4 gross domestic product (GDP) data on 28 February 2023.
  • The Unites States Durable Goods Orders for January will be declared on 27 February 2023.
  • In Europe, the Euro Area Inflation rate for February will be declared on 2 March 2023.
Technical Overview
Nifty opened the week on a tepid note and remained under pressure throughout the week to end the week with a loss of 2.67%. Index has closed around the confluence of support which includes Anchored VWAP, 50 WEMA and 38.2% retracement level of its prior upmove. Hence, going ahead 17450, shall act as a critical support for the index. Failure to hold the mentioned support will open the way for 17200-17030 levels. Whereas on the opposite side resistance is seen at 17630-17880.

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Weekly Report: 16th Jan 23

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week that ended on Friday, 13 January 2023, the Sensex lost 360.81 points or 0.60% to settle at 60,261.18. The Nifty 50 index declined 97.15 points or 0.54% to settle at 17,956.60
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 0.02% to settle at 25,170.97
  • The BSE Small-Cap advanced 0.26% to settle at 28,858.30
Week Ahead
  • The Chinese Government is due to release Q4 GDP data along with Industrial Production data for December on 17th January 2023
  • Japan will announce the Inflation rate for December 2022 on 20 January 2023
  • The US Retail Sales for December 2022 will be announced on 18 January 2023
Technical Overview
The 50 index began the week on a higher note, but it kept facing stiff selling pressure from the shorter-term EMAs and edged lower throughout the week. The index breached below the 100 DEMA and undercut the key support levels of 17774 and saw a smart recovery on Friday. On the higher timeframe, the price action has formed a series of inside bars at the support of 20 WEMA indicating a volatility compression. The vicinity of 17774-17850 levels holds a strong support zone by means of 20 WEMA, 100 DEMA, and the previous gap area. Hence as far as Nifty sustains above the said zone there are higher possibilities of the index avoiding any major breakdown and it is anticipated to attract bullish momentum on a decisive close above 18100.

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