Weekly Report: 08 January, 2024

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  •  In the week ended on Friday, 05 January 2024 , the S&P BSE Sensex shed 214.11 points or 0.30% to settle at 72,026.15. The Nifty 50 index lost 20.6 points or 0.09% to close at 21,710.80.
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index advanced 2.35% to close at 37,706.55.
  • The BSE Small-Cap index rose 2.68% to end at 43,819.39.
Week Ahead
  • On the macro front, the USA Inflation Rate for December will be released on 11 January 2024.
  • Overseas, Europe will announce Retail Sales  for November on 8 January 2024.
  • China will announce New Yuan Loans for December on 10 January 2024.
Technical Overview

The benchmark index started the week on a positive note and marked new life-highs followed by two consecutive distribution days. However, the index rebounded in the final two trading sessions of the week and saw the weekly closing on an indecision note failing to offer any directional bias. On the derivative front, the strike of 21800 added the highest call open interest indicating immediate resistance. The levels of 21550-21450 offer immediate support and sustenance above this zone on a closing basis, the index is anticipated to garner bullish strength.

Supp: 21450-21250-21000  

Res: 21800-21850-2200

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Weekly Report: 02 January, 2024

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 29 December 2023 , the S&P BSE Sensex gained 1133.3 points or 1.59% to settle at 72,240.93. The Nifty 50 index rose 382 points or 1.79% to close at 21,731.40.
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index advanced 2.67% to close at 36,839.22.
  • The BSE Small-Cap index rose 1.60% to end at 42,673.76.
Week Ahead
  • On the macro front, the S7P Global Manufacturing PMI for December will be released on 01 January 2023.
  • Overseas, China will announce NBS Manufacturing OMI for December on 31 December 2023.
  • The US Federal Reserve will releasethe minutes of the FOMC meeting held in December on 04 January 2023.
Technical Overview

The benchmark index ended the year on a buoyant note after a stellar run-up of 7.9% points in December and a 19.7% YTD basis. The closing week of the year remained trending barring the final trading session of the year after establishing a 472 points weekly trading range. The VIX surged 5.8% to 14.5 levels despite coming off from its weekly high. Considering the extended bull run, the index is anticipated to start the new calendar year on a quiet note and the consolidation is likely to continue in the range of 22000-21500 based on weekly option expiry data and a directional bias can be concluded once the range is taken out on a closing basis.

Support: 21700-21550-21440

Resistance: 21800-22000-22200

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Weekly Report: 26 December, 2023

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 22 December 2023 , the S&P BSE Sensex shed 376.79 points or 0.53% to settle at 71,106.96. The Nifty 50 index lost 107.25 points or 0.50% to close at 21,349.40.
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index declined 0.87% to close at 35,882.68.
  • The BSE Small-Cap index fell 0.19% to end at 42,001.75.
Week Ahead
  • Industrial On the macro front, the Infrastructure Output data for November will be released on 29 December 2023.
  • Overseas, China will announce Industrial Profits data for November on 27 December 2023.
  • Japan will announce Industrial Production data for November on 28 December 2023.
Technical Overview

The front-line index trended volatile in the week gone by entering a broad consolidation range of 616 points. The index demonstrated resilience in the last two trading sessions of the week from the key support near 21000 following a sharp sell-off on Wednesday, affirming a bullish sentiment. With Nifty ending its streak of 7 weekly higher closing, the VIX spiked 4.4% during the week. The volatility is anticipated to get in on the act above 14.6 readings. On the derivative front, 21000PE saw the highest open interest build up offering crucial support. All in all, the index is anticipated to attract further bullish strength on a decisive closing above 21490.

Supp: 21280-21100-20920

Res: 21420-21600-21800 

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Weekly Report: 18 December, 2023

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 15 December 2023, the S&P BSE Sensex gained 1658.15 points or 2.37% to settle at 71,483.75. The Nifty 50 Index jumped 487.25 points or 2.32% to close at 21,456.65.         
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index rose at 2.57% to 36,198.35.
  • The BSE Small-Cap advanced 2.38% to end at 42,083.21.
Week Ahead
  • Domestic and macroeconomic data, trend in global stock market, the movement of rupee against the dollar and crude oil prices will also dictate trend on the bourses in the trading week ahead.
  • Overseas, China will announce the Loan Prime rate for 1 year and 5 year on 20 December 2023.
  • The Japan will announce inflation rate for November on 22nd December 2023.
  • The Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision on 19th December 2023.
Technical Overview

The 50 index incepted the week with the formation of an outside bar candle, however, the bearish implication was negated on Thursday following a gap-up opening as the price action recuperated 687 points from the weekly low of 20769. With this, the index closed higher for 6th consecutive week and remains extremely overbought. The VIX scaled 5.3% higher, and the volatility is anticipated to spike further on readings above 14.1. On the derivative front, the strikes of 21300PE and 22000CE have mounted the highest open interest. The bullish strength is anticipated to remain intact provided the support zone near 21000 remains intact.

Supp: 21280-21100-20930

Res: 21500-21800-22000

 

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Weekly Report: 11 December, 2023

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 08 December 2023, the S&P BSE Sensex gained 2344.41 points or 3.47% to settle at 69,825.60. The Nifty 50 Index jumped 701.50 points or 3.46% to close at 20,969.40.         
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index rose at 2.04% to 35,290.91.
  •  The BSE Small-Cap advanced 1.33% to end at 41,104.37.
Week Ahead
  • Industrial production and manufacturing production data for October will be released on 12th December 2023 and inflation data for November will be released on the same day. Wholesale price index (WPI) inflation data for November is due on 14th December 2023.
  • Overseas, China will announce the inflation rate data for November on 9th December 2023 and will also announce the industrial production data and retail sales data on 15th December 2023.
  • The US will announce the inflation rate for November on 12th December 2023. The retail sales data for November will be announced on 14th December 2023.
  • The US Federal reserve will announce its interest rate decision after its 2 day policy meeting on 13th December 2023
  • The Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision on 14th December 2023.
Technical Overview

The week gone by witnessed a buoyant start to the week gapping up 334 points as the street cheered BJP’s stellar win in 3 out 5 state elections. The subsequent trading sessions traded higher and Nifty 50 marked a new life high of 21006. The VIX remained protean however it witnessed a muted closing. The index is anticipated to remain range bound provided the VIX surpasses 14.46 readings on a weekly closing. On the contrary, the bullish momentum is anticipated to continue further provided the immediate support near 20700 remains intact on a closing basis. 

Supp:20855-20680-20500
Res: 21000-21200-21600

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Weekly Report: 04 December, 2023

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  •  In the week ended on Friday, 01 December 2023, the S&P BSE Sensex advanced 492.75 points or 0.74% to settle at 67,481.19. The Nifty 50 Index added 134.75 points or 0.67% to close at 20,267.90.     
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index rose at 2.9% to 34,586.76.
  • The BSE Small-Cap advanced 1.91% to end at 40,565.96
Week Ahead
  • Overseas, China will announce the Caixin Services PMI for November on 5th December 2023.
  • The US ISM Services PMI data for November will be announced on 5th December 2023
  •  The S&P Global Services PMI for November will be declared on 5th December 2023. On the political front, the outcome of assembly elections in five states will be closely watched.
Technical Overview

The benchmark index soared to new life-highs to 20291 in the week gone by following a bullish breakout from the base of accumulation formed in the penultimate week. While the bull run extended for 4th straight daily sessions amidst positive global macros and declining crude, the VIX spiked 9.3% during the week. While the market status is now upgraded to a confirmed uptrend, it will be crucial that the index continues to sustain above the zone of 20222-19875 to continue the bullish momentum.

Sup: 20,222-20,100-19,875
Res: 20,350-20,450-20,600

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Weekly Report: November 28, 2023

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 24 November 2023, the S&P BSE Sensex gained 175.31 points or 0.27% to settle at 65,970.04. The Nifty 50 Index added 62.90 points or 0.32% to close at 19,794.70.  
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index rose at 0.69% to 33,610.39.
  • The BSE Small-Cap advanced 0.53% to end at 39,807.29.
Week Ahead
  • Overseas, China will announce the NBS Manufacturing PMI for November on 30th November 2023.
  • China will announce the Caixin Manufacturing PMI for December on 1 Dec 2023
  • The US ISM Manufacturing PMI data for November will be announced on 1 December 2023
Technical Overview

The 50 index witnessed a muted opening for the week and consolidated in the range of 204 points with a declining volume trend throughout the week. The zone of 19800-850 continued to act as a strong supply zone and fended off the bulls throughout the week while on the derivative front, 19800 CE mounted the highest open interest. The VIX continued to trade at lower levels and closed in the proximity of its previously weekly range. All in all, it will be crucial for the index to decisively reclaim this zone to attract further bullish strength.
Supp:19700-19580-19435
Res: 19850-19990-20115

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Weekly Report: November 18, 2023

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 17 November 2023, the S&P BSE Sensex jumped 890.05 points or 1.37% to settle at 65,794.73. The Nifty 50 gained 306.45 points or 1.58% to close at 19,731.80.         
  • The BSE Midcap index advanced 2.5% to close at 33,850.58.
  • The BSE Smallcap index rallied 3.18% to end at 39,598.63.
Week Ahead
  • On the political front, the outcome of assembly elections in five state will be closely watched.

  • Overseas, China will announce Loan Prime Rate for 1 year and 5 years on 20th November 2023.

  • Japan will announce inflation rate for October on 24 November 2023.

  •  The United States Durable Goods Orders for October will be declared on 22 November 2023.   

Technical Overview

The 50-index opened on a jittery note following the Muhurat trading for the week. It retrieved its bullish strength from the weekly low of 19414 to pullback 460 points, however, the polarity level near 19850 acting as strong supply zone impeded the weekly rally yet another time. On the derivative front, 19800 CE mounted the highest open interest during the week. All in all, it will be crucial for the index to steer clear above the zone of 19850-19900 decisively on a weekly closing basis to attract further bullish strength until then we reiterate a cautious approach.

Supp: 19630-19480-19330

Res: 19850-19900-19990

 

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Weekly Report: November 13, 2023

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 10 November 2023, the S&P BSE Sensex jumped 540.9 points or 0.84% to settle at 64,904.68. The Nifty 50 index gained 194.75 points or 1.01% to close at 19,425.35.         
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 2% to close at 31,735.86.
  • The BSE Small-Cap index added 1.90% at 37,589.06.
Week Ahead
  • On the macro front, India’s inflation rate for October will be unveiled on 13 November 2023.
  •  India’s inflation based on wholesale price index (WPI) for October will be unveiled on 14 November 2023.
  • Þ China will announce the industrial production data for October on 15 November 2023.
  • In US, Retail Sales data for October will be announced on 15 November 2023.
  •  US will announce inflation rate for October on 14 November 2023.
Technical Overview

The benchmark index opened on a buoyant note for the week gapping up nearly 135 points. Moreover, the price action traded in a narrow weekly trading range of 155 points with 78.6% retracement level of its prior swing high and low acting as immediate resistance. Going forward, the zone of 19435-19525 is anticipated to act as an immediate supply zone, and in contrast, the supports have been dragged above to 19330-19235 and sustenance above this zone only will attract further bullish momentum.

Supp: 19330-19235-18120
Res: 19435-19525-19620

 

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Weekly Report: November 06, 2023

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  •  In the week ended on Friday, 03 November 2023, the S&P BSE Sensex jumped 580.98 points or 0.91% to settle at 64,363.78. The Nifty 50 Index gained 183.35 points or 0.96% to close at 19,230.60        
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 2% to close at 31,735.86.
  • The BSE Small-Cap index added 1.90% at 37,589.06.
Week Ahead
  •  The US Non Farm Payrolls data and employment rate for October will be disclosed on 3rd November 2023.
  •  The US ISM Services PMI for October will be declared on 3rd November 2023.
  • China will announce the inflation rate for October on 9th November 2023.
Technical Overview

The benchmark index saw a positive opening for the trading week, however, it largely remained range-bound within 336 points with the zone of 19235-19330 acting as the immediate supply zone. On the derivative front, the strikes of 19200 saw the highest addition in put OI while the strikes of 19300 saw the highest addition on the call side indicating immediate resistance. The index is anticipated to attract bullish strength on decisively reclaiming the zone of 19235-19330.

Supp: 19230-19020-18850

Res: 19330-19440-19620

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