Weekly Report: August 07, 2023

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By

In the week ended on Friday, 04 August 2023, the S&P BSE Sensex slipped 438.95 points or 0.66% to settle at 65,721.25. The Nifty 50 Index declined 129.05 points or 0.66% to close at 19,517.00.  

The BSE Mid-Cap index was flat at 30,162.66.  

The BSE Small-Cap index rose 1.51% to close at 35,070.65

Week Ahead

The RBI Governor Shaktikanata Das-led monetary policy committee (MPC) will meet on 8-10 August and the decision will be  announced on 10 August 2023 by the Governor. 

Overseas, China will announce inflation rate for July on 9 August 2023. 

US will announce Inflation Rate and Core Inflation Rate for July on 10 August 2023.

Technical Overview

The onset of trading week took off in green, marked a lower swing high at 19795 and pared 278 points in the corrective rally from  the life-highs of 19991. With this the 50 index has added 4 distribution days in the rally and so the uptrend remains under pressure.  Going forward, the levels of 19400 is reckoned to act as immediate support based on the build-up of the put writing and the  presence of the highest volume-profile node near that level. The smart hands are anticipated to try and defend their positions and  are likely to defer below 19300.  

Supp:19400-19300-19180 
Res: 19680-19730-19870

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Weekly Report: JULY 30, 2023

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By

In the week ended on Friday, 28 July 2023, the S&P BSE Sensex slipped 524.06 points or 0.79% to settle at 66,160.20. The Nifty 50  Index declined 98.95 points or 0.50% to close at 19,645.05. 

The BSE Mid-Cap index rallied 2.07% to settle at 30,159.82. 

The BSE Small-Cap index added 1.18% to close at 34,548.46..

Week Ahead

Focus will continue to remain on Q1FY24 results 

Auto stocks will be in focus with the companies announcing their monthly sales numbers for July on 1 August 2023. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for July will be declared on 1 August 2023. 

The US Non Farm Payrolls Data and Unemployment rate for July will be announced on 4 August 2023.

Technical Overview

After closing with gains for four consecutive weeks, the benchmark index took a breather on anticipated lines as it dithered in a  narrow trading range of 304 points for the week. With this the index marked its first lower high in 17 weeks, however, it continues to  trade above the previous week’s low. The highlight of the previous week was that the VIX slid 11.8% to a multi-year low. With  weekly RSI trading mildly in the overbought territory at 71.06 reading, the index is anticipated to have formed a temporary top with  19991 to act as key resistance. However, there are no signs of any major drawdowns and with key supports in the zone of 19500- 19420, the trading range is expected to get wider in the coming week. 

Supp:19600-19500-19400 
Res: 19750-19850-1990

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Weekly Report: JULY 22, 2023

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 22 July 2023, the S&P BSE Sensex jumped 623.36 points or 0.94% to settle at 66,684.26. The Nifty 50 Index advanced 180.5 points or 0.92% to close at 19,745.00.
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index climbed 0.52% to settle at 29,547.28.
  • The BSE Small-Cap index rallied 1.32% to close at 34,146.66.
Week Ahead
  • The US Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision on 26 July 2023.
  • The European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its interest rate decision on 27 July 2023
  • The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its interest rate decision on 28 July 2023
Technical Overview

The benchmark index opened on a tepid note for the week following a bullish breakout from the minor base and advanced the first four trading sessions. The index scaled closed to 20000, however, it pared ~247 points from the life-high of 19991 on Friday as the IT index juddered over 4% as Infosys lowered its guidance for FY24. As a result, the index closed the week with an inverted hammer after record- ing the 17th consecutive higher high. The VIX continues to trade at lower levels and it will be crucial that it continues to trail below its 20 WMA currently trading at 12.04 levels to curb any unruly move. All in all, the highsof 19991 is anticipated to act as immediate hurdle whereas the drawdowns are reckoned to be limited to zone of 19500.

Support: 19700-19600-19500
Resistance: 19991-20100-20200

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Weekly Report: JULY 15, 2023

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 14 July 2023, the S&P BSE Sensex jumped 780.45 points or 1.2% to settle at 66,060.90. The Nifty 50 index advanced 232.70 points or 1.20% to close at 19,564.50. 
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index climbed 1.36% to settle at 29,393.00. 
  • The BSE Small-Cap index rallied 1.73% to close at 33,701.90.
Week Ahead
  • Quarterly result updates (Q1FY24) with HDFC Bank, LTIMindtree will unveil their results on 17 July 2023. • Overseas, China will announce GDP growth rate for Q2 on 17 July 2023. 
  • Japan will announce inflation rate for June on 21 July 2023. 

 

Technical Overview

The benchmark index saw a muted opening and displayed tightness in volatility amidst the brief consolidation of 220 points. The price ac tion edged higher toward the supply zone from 19500-19525 during the week and managed to break out on Friday ushered by short cover ing in the IT sector. With this, the index marked its 16th consecutive higher high. While the breakout came on a relatively lower volume, the daily RSI has also diverged negatively to the price. On the derivative front, the strikes of 19000 and 19500 have seen the building of higher put open interest and call open interest at the strikes of 19600 and 20000. All in all, it will be crucial that the index witnesses a follow through and a decisive close above 19600 whilst managing to sustain above the crucial support of 19500 to attract further bullish momen tum. 

Supp:19500-19300-1900 Res:19600-19800-20000

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Weekly Report: JULY 08, 2023

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  •  In the week ended on Friday, 07 July 2023, the S&P BSE Sensex jumped 561.89 points or 0.87% to settle at 65,280.45. TheNifty50index advanced 142.75 points or 0.74% to close at 19,331.80. 
  •  The BSE Mid-Cap index climbed 0.77% to settle at 28,999.02. 
  •  The BSE Small-Cap index rallied 1.62% to close at 33,129.49.
Week Ahead
  • Quarterly result updates (Q1FY24) will begin with TCS and HCL Tech on 12 July 2023 while Wipro will release its result on13 July 2023. 
  •  India’s inflation based on WPI for June will be announced on 14 July 2023. 
  • Overseas, China will announce its inflation rate for June on 10 July 2023
Technical Overview

The 50 index opened on a tepid note for the week and witnessed volatility compression in the following two trading sessions. It sawa range break on Thursday, however, the index succumbed to selling pressure on the last day of the week after recording newlife-high at 19523 and paring 220 points. The zone of 19380-19500 is anticipated to act as immediate resistance goingforwardandweekly close above the zone will attract further bullish momentum. The VIX surged 6.8% during the week and some volatility anticipated to persist in the coming week. 

Supp:19320-19190-19000

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Weekly Report: June 24, 2023

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  •  In In the week ended on Friday, 23 June 2023, the S&P BSE Sensex declined 405.21 points or 0.64%to settle at 62,979.37. TheNifty index shed 160.50 points or 0.85% to close at 18,665.50. 
  •  The BSE Mid-Cap index slipped 1.25% to settle at 27,977.34. 
  • The BSE Small-Cap index fell 0.93% to close at 31,991.18.
Week Ahead
  • The domestic stock market will remain shut on 28 June 2023 on account of Bakri-Id. 
  •  Overseas, China will announce the NBS Manufacturing PMI for June on 30 June 2023
  •  Japan will announce Consumer Confidence data for June on 29 June 2023. 
  •  The United States Durable Goods Orders for May will be declared on 27 June 2023
Technical Overview

The stupendous rise of 1526 points from the March closing was arrested at the pivotal resistance of the life-highs at 18887. Theindex pared nearly 221 points after retesting the resistance twice during the week. On the positive side, the weekly timeframe continued its 12 consecutive streak of higher highs and lows and the drawdowns that came in the week gone by were on relatively lower volumes. It holds stiff support near the support zone of 18600 coupled with pivotal support and a shorter-term moving average. The index is anticipated to attract further bullish momentum provided the support zone remains intact on a weekly closing basis. 

Supp: 18600-18530-18450 
Res: 18780-18887-19000

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Weekly Report: JUNE 19, 2023

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  •  In the week ended on Friday, 16 June 2023, the S&P BSE Sensex jumped 758.95 points or 1.21% to settle at 63,384.58. TheNifty50 index advanced 262.6 points or 1.41% to close at 18,826. 
  •  The BSE Mid-Cap index climbed 2.95% to settle at 28,331.32. 
  •  The BSE Small-Cap index rallied 2.87% to close at 32,292.19.
Week Ahead
  • Overseas, China will announce the Loan Prime Rate for 1 year and 5 years on 20 June 2023.
  • Japan will announce inflation rate for May on 23 June 2023. 
  • Global financial markets could see more heightened volatility over the coming week due to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s semi-annual testimony to Congress.
Technical Overview

Nifty dithered in a ~220 points trading range in the previous 2 weeks after facing rejection from the supply zone 18780-18750. Theindex garnered bullish strength amidst the base formation that bolstered a decisive close above the supply zone. Themovethatrallied from Monday in the previous week came on increasing volume and improving market breadth which is a positivesign.Currently we remain in an attempt rally whilst trading 0.62% away from life highs. The status reiterates to confirmuptrendonadecisive close above 18890 and preferably with a follow-through week.

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Weekly Report: JUNE 12, 2023

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 09 June 2023, the S&P BSE Sensex jumped 78.52 points or 0.13% to settle at 62,625.6. The Nifty 50
    Index added 29.30 points or 0.16% to close at 18,563.40.
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index rallied 0.82% to settle at 27,518.19.
  •  The BSE Small-Cap index rose 1.64% to close at 31,391.99.
Week Ahead
  •  Overseas, China will also announce industrial production data for May on 15 June 2023.
  • The US Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its interest rate decision after its two-day policy meeting on 14 June 2023.
  • The European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its interest rate decision on 15 June 2023.
Technical Overview

Nifty faces an immediate hurdle in the zone of 18,810-18,750 ahead of the all-time pivotal resistance at 18,777. The resistance
zone formerly marked exhaustion ahead of the prior declining trend from the ATH of 18,777 to 16,828. The current move has been
arrested near the resistance zone and formed a bearish harami candle pattern coupled with the RSI on the daily timeframe
diverging against the price and the Midcap and Smallcaps cooling off after peaking in the overbought zone. This indicates an
intermediate top formation. The primary trend remains healthy, however, considering the stupendous rise from the March lows, the
index is anticipated to take a breather and garner further bullish strength with crucial support near 18,450 before it resumes its up
move towards 19,000 and 19,200.

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Weekly Report: JUNE 03, 2023

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  •  In the week ended on Friday, 02 June 2023, the S&P BSE Sensex rose 45.42 points or 0.07% to settle at 62,547.11 The Nifty 50
    index gained 34.75 points or 0.19% to close at 18,534.10.
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 1.83% to settle at 27,294.10.
  • The BSE Small-Cap index gained 2.40% to close at 30,885.70.
Week Ahead
  •  The RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) review meeting is slated for June 6-8.
  • The S&P Global Services PMI for May will be announced on 5 June 2023.
  •  Japan will announce the inflation rate data for May on 9 June 2023.
Technical Overview

Nifty opened the week on a buoyant note by gapping up 120 points, however, it remained choppy amidst the uncertainty around
the US Debt ceiling. The benchmark index briefly traded in a 197 points trading range with the pivotal point near 18600 on the
weekly timeframe acting as immediate resistance whereas the pivotal point of 18458 on the daily timeframe as stiff immediate
support. The price action closed the week without showing any directional bias, however, it ended the week forming an inside bar
that shows volatility compression. The index is anticipated to resume its up move to all-time highs provided the support zone of
18460-18300 remains intact.
Supp:18458-18300-18200
Res:18660-18780-18887

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Weekly Report: 9th April 22

Weekly Trend Report

Week Gone By
  • In the week ended on Friday, 8 April 2022, the Sensex rose 170.49 points or 0.29% to settle at 59,447.18. The Nifty 50 index gained 113.90 points or 0.64% to settle at 17,784.35.
  • The BSE Mid-Cap index added 859.80 or 3.52% to settle at 25,030.79.
  • The BSE Small-Cap index rose 1,066.38 points or 3.72% to settle at 29,765.79
Week Ahead
  • IT majors TCS will declare its Q4 result on 11 April 2022.
  • On the economic front, India’s manufacturing production data for February will be unveiled on 12 April 2022.
  • India’s industrial production data for February will also be announced on 12 April 2022. On the same day, India’s inflation rate for March will be declared.
Technical Overview
Index opened the week on a postive note, however index faced profit booking from the falling resistance trendline ending the session near the opening price. Going ahead index has an immediate resistance placed around 17850, sustenance above the same will open the way for 18100-18400. Whereas on the downside support is placed near 17500-17330-17000.

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